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Wednesday, 23 March 16
THE PANAMA CANAL - WILL THE MELTING OF POLAR ICE CAPS CREATE RIVAL NAVIGATIONAL WATERWAYS THROUGH THE ARCTIC? - INTERMODAL
IntermodalThe Panama Canal, 102 years after its initial opening, is now about to have its expansion completed with a cost of USD5.25 Billion. It is a project financed by International credit institutions of Japanese, European and American interests.

In August 1914, when the first ship crossed the Canal, this route changed world trade. The torturous completion of the de Lesseps works is recognized as one of the greatest engineering milestones of the 20th century. Now, just over a century later, the thriving shipping artery of the Panama Canal is worth an impressive USD 1 billion per annum for Panama.  The ever growing Shipping transport needs have led to the biggest and most important infrastructure development since its creation: the widening of the Panama Canal.

The size of the Panamax ships is constrained by the existing size of the locks (33.53m wide, 320.04 m long and 12.56 m deep). The third set of locks will allow the transit of the Post-Panamax type vessels, the Super Post-Panamax. Maximum vessel capacity will increase to 49m width, 366m length and 15.2m draft. Container vessel-wise this means from about 5,000 to a 13-14,000 TEU capacity. Dry cargo-wise it means that up to the size of a small Caper will be accommodated. Wait time will remain constant, or even increase, at least until the PCA (Panama Canal Authority) come to grips with the operation of the new lock. The Panama Canal Authority is training its personnel to ensure that the transition will be a smooth one via the use of a simulator and hands-on experience with transit training on a chartered Neo-Panamax type vessel.

At this point of time (March 2016) the expansion is 96% complete. Excavation, infrastructure improvements, dredging improvements to the water supply, all the hard work that is about to be completed -according to the information on www.micanaldepanama.com- aim at increasing capacity to meet demand growth impacting on the international maritime trade.

The PCA anticipates that the Transit Booking System (additional 15% service charge over the regular tolls) and the Transit Slot Auction (25th slot), in operation, helps dealing with the long queuing during the high season (from December to March).

The expansion project is creating a new lane of traffic along the Canal through the construction of the new set of locks. Projected to double the capacity of the waterway, the challenge remains as to how long Panama can afford to keep expanding its Canal to meet the ever growing size of ships. Climate change is another factor which likely changes the equation. 

Will Panama’s rainfall persist to the levels needed to maintain the Canal operational?
Will the melting of polar ice caps create rival navigational waterways through the Arctic?

The imminently anticipated benefits to the shipping economy are tri-fold:

a) The decrease to transport costs will facilitate the transportation of a higher volume of goods including LNG, coal and grain cargos.
b) Transhipments from Panama’s ports of Balboa, Colon and Manzanillo will link distribution centers like Shanghai with smaller hubs in S. America and the US, bolstering Panama’s strategic position.
c) The provision of an alternative route for agricultural products from the US to the Far Eastern markets which will also promote the Mississippi River corridor to a dominant position.

So we should be able to see sooner rather than later the degree to which these benefits will take place or whether expectations were set too high for this huge expenditure project.
By Sophie Cotzias
Managing Director
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc

Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations

Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima


Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.


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