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Friday, 18 March 16
DRY BULK MARKET HAS LITTLE TO LOOK FORWARD TO FROM CHINA AT THE MOMENT - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
 The dry bulk market’s rebound is long overdue, but when it comes, it won’t be because of China’s strong demand for commodities, or at least China’s role in it will be diminished than the past few years. At least that’s what the latest news from China’s economy are indicating. In its latest report, shipbroker Allied Shipbroking noted that “strong volatility and a general shake up in the commodities markets has been the main description of this past week’s events and continuing on from last week’s article it is more and more evident that most traders in the market are fairly confused at the signs being given. Last week the commodities markets (especially in the case of most dry bulk commodities such as iron ore and coal) noted a firm hike in prices both in the futures and physical markets. This was largely driven by China’s National People’s Congress which discussed the proposed changes and targets it plans to put through for its next five year plan (pointing to the major role China still plays not only in the physical markets of these commodities but also in the minds of most investors worldwide)”.
Allied’s,George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, noted that “speculation was rife, as some sought to take a more optimistic view as to what was coming out of China. Most of these traders might have been overeager to pull the trigger on their investment strategies, inpatient as to when the market would turn. However it seems as though they might have miscalculated the timing, having avoided to read some of the fine print from China’s next stimulus plan. As such we have started off the week with the biggest two-day slide in commodity prices, while in turn this has had knock off effects on global stocks and other financial instruments. At the same time the recent decision by the Bank of Japan to jump off the stimulus bandwagon hindered by the growing underlining risk of a negative interest-rate strategy has left further woes for the global economy. As such, much is left in question as to the true direction of global economic growth”, he mentioned.
Of course, Lazaridis continued, “in the physical market, the actual uptick in demand (and therefore in prices) of iron ore have been more reliant on supply, demand and inventories as always rather than mere expectations of financial markets. However, once you take a closer look, these are more near-term in nature. Namely low inventories and the prospects of a forced stoppage in the output of several still mills in China over the summer months, have pushed many to scramble for ore while trying to operate at full capacity in order to build stocks of metals so as to be ready to supply the seasonal pickup in construction in spring. This chain has more to do with seasonality then any political decision undertaken, however it does hold a small truth as to the state of the market. Expectations are that new real estate constructions are slowly going to pick up, based on the increasing level of home sales and higher prices. Home prices have risen by as much as 50% in some of China’s most popular cities over the past year, pointing to potential shortages in comparison to rising demand. The clarification here is that this trend is still held within a few key cities, while the excess backlog in real estate supply across the whole of China is still fairly big. At the same time there are some who fear that this is more of a bubble rather than an indicator as to the state of real demand. Efforts have been made by the central government to push demand for the housing markets outside the main five hottest markets, yet the results have been meagre so far”, Allied’s analyst stated.
In conclusion, “after the dissipation of the initial hype, the fog has cleared to the reality that little is clear as of yet as to the true effectiveness of China’s next growth stimulus. The dry bulk market may have bolstered slightly over the past week, but it’s too early to have been caused by any shift in fundamentals from anything decided in Beijing this past week”, Lazaridis concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 12 February 16
COAL PRICES ARE EXPECTED TO DECLINE 13% IN 2016 TO $50 ATON, ON CONTINUED WEAK DEMAND AND OVERSUPPLY - WORLD BANK
COALspot.com: Thermal coal prices fell 9 percent in the fourth quarter on continued weak demand, high stocks, and surplus production, World Bank sa ...
Friday, 12 February 16
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION OFF 5.4% FROM LAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 12.9 million shor ...
Thursday, 11 February 16
GLOBAL NEWBUILDING ORDERBOOK IS SHRINKING ON A DAILY BASIS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
2016 has started right where 2015 left off when it comes to newbuilding ordering activity, i.e. there are slim pickings to be had from shipyards ar ...
Wednesday, 10 February 16
SOUTH AFRICA IS HOPING TO SHIP MORE COAL TO INDIA IN 2016
COALspot.com: South Africa is hoping to boost coal exports to India after shipping a record 75.4 million tonnes of coal in 2015, industry officials ...
Wednesday, 10 February 16
OWNERS APPEAR WILLING TO DISPOSE OF TONNAGE THE SOONEST IT HITS THE 10 YEAR MARK - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
COALspot.com: The last two months of 2015 made a case for traditional shipowners to invest in the dry bulk sector, doing so though based purely on ...
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
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