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Friday, 18 March 16
DRY BULK MARKET HAS LITTLE TO LOOK FORWARD TO FROM CHINA AT THE MOMENT - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
 The dry bulk market’s rebound is long overdue, but when it comes, it won’t be because of China’s strong demand for commodities, or at least China’s role in it will be diminished than the past few years. At least that’s what the latest news from China’s economy are indicating. In its latest report, shipbroker Allied Shipbroking noted that “strong volatility and a general shake up in the commodities markets has been the main description of this past week’s events and continuing on from last week’s article it is more and more evident that most traders in the market are fairly confused at the signs being given. Last week the commodities markets (especially in the case of most dry bulk commodities such as iron ore and coal) noted a firm hike in prices both in the futures and physical markets. This was largely driven by China’s National People’s Congress which discussed the proposed changes and targets it plans to put through for its next five year plan (pointing to the major role China still plays not only in the physical markets of these commodities but also in the minds of most investors worldwide)”.
Allied’s,George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, noted that “speculation was rife, as some sought to take a more optimistic view as to what was coming out of China. Most of these traders might have been overeager to pull the trigger on their investment strategies, inpatient as to when the market would turn. However it seems as though they might have miscalculated the timing, having avoided to read some of the fine print from China’s next stimulus plan. As such we have started off the week with the biggest two-day slide in commodity prices, while in turn this has had knock off effects on global stocks and other financial instruments. At the same time the recent decision by the Bank of Japan to jump off the stimulus bandwagon hindered by the growing underlining risk of a negative interest-rate strategy has left further woes for the global economy. As such, much is left in question as to the true direction of global economic growth”, he mentioned.
Of course, Lazaridis continued, “in the physical market, the actual uptick in demand (and therefore in prices) of iron ore have been more reliant on supply, demand and inventories as always rather than mere expectations of financial markets. However, once you take a closer look, these are more near-term in nature. Namely low inventories and the prospects of a forced stoppage in the output of several still mills in China over the summer months, have pushed many to scramble for ore while trying to operate at full capacity in order to build stocks of metals so as to be ready to supply the seasonal pickup in construction in spring. This chain has more to do with seasonality then any political decision undertaken, however it does hold a small truth as to the state of the market. Expectations are that new real estate constructions are slowly going to pick up, based on the increasing level of home sales and higher prices. Home prices have risen by as much as 50% in some of China’s most popular cities over the past year, pointing to potential shortages in comparison to rising demand. The clarification here is that this trend is still held within a few key cities, while the excess backlog in real estate supply across the whole of China is still fairly big. At the same time there are some who fear that this is more of a bubble rather than an indicator as to the state of real demand. Efforts have been made by the central government to push demand for the housing markets outside the main five hottest markets, yet the results have been meagre so far”, Allied’s analyst stated.
In conclusion, “after the dissipation of the initial hype, the fog has cleared to the reality that little is clear as of yet as to the true effectiveness of China’s next growth stimulus. The dry bulk market may have bolstered slightly over the past week, but it’s too early to have been caused by any shift in fundamentals from anything decided in Beijing this past week”, Lazaridis concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 11 April 16
BDI ROSE TO ITS HIGHEST LEVEL IN FOUR MONTHS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities continued to rose this week.
The freight market was ...
Friday, 08 April 16
COASTAL ENERGEN CROSSES GENERATION OF 1068 MW AND EXPORT OF 1004 MW FROM ITS 1200 MW IPP
COALspot.com: Coal & Oil (C&O) Group, an India centric Energy & Infrastructure company announced that their Coastal Energen' ...
Friday, 08 April 16
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION ESTIMATES DIP 5.4% TO 11 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 11 million short ...
Friday, 08 April 16
MINISTER OF ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCES OF INDONESIA TO ISSUE REGULATION TO GUARANTEE THE COAL SUPPLY TO ITS 35K POWER PLANT PROJECTS
COALspot.com: In order to guarantee the supply of coal for 35,000 megawatt (mw) coal based power plants ( still in planning stage), the Minister of ...
Thursday, 07 April 16
CHINA STEEL CAPACITY CUTS FACE SOCIAL, FINANCIAL HURDLES - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings says today that the Chinese government's supply-side reform of the steel sector faces immense social and financial challenges. Th ...
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
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