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Wednesday, 16 March 16
OIL SUPPLY OUTPACES DEMAND ON ANY GIVEN DAY, AND BILLIONS OF BARRELS OF OIL ARE BEING STORED RATHER THAN CONSUMED - CHRISTOPHER
 Oil producers have turned to the concept of limiting their output to January levels as a certain form of action to boost prices that have fallen more than 70% since the middle of 2014. Oil supply outpaces demand on any given day, and billions of barrels of oil are being stored rather than consumed. As a result, oil prices have collapsed to as low as $26 per barrel in February, from well over $100 in 2014.
It is interesting that currently, Iran and Iraq both play an important role in the contemplated production freeze. Iran has already been increasing production and the country’s position is that it would consider oil-production caps only after the country’s output rises back to the levels before the West imposed sanctions over its nuclear program.
Basically Iran wants to increase production now, in an attempt to revive their share in the global markets, before they even consider discussing about participating in an output freeze. Iraq also has a longstanding policy of seeking to raise production regardless of the price-stabilizing policies of the OPEC.
Russia said that OPEC’s meeting with other key oil producers regarding an output freeze will probably be held in Doha, Qatar in April. They said that Iran supports the plan, while Tehran says it wants to double its crude exports to 4 million bpd first.
However, in reality according to the latest oil market data, both Russia and Saudi Arabia ramped up their oil production in February, despite talks about supply caps. Russian oil supply reached a new high of 11.08 million barrels a day in February, and Saudi Arabia during the same month increased its daily output by 14,000 barrels, to 10.14 million barrels per day, according to OPEC's analysis of market sources.
Generally speaking, countries are less willing to freeze and especially to cut production, because doing so means giving up market share for their oil, which might be hard to win back especially during this transition period. The four major oil powers, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Venezuela and Qatar, are heavily involved in the various discussions and the coordinated efforts will probably include soon also non OPEC countries such as Oman, Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan.
Assuming all are on board, the oil glut could begin to ease, particularly with American output on the decline. Or at least that is what they anticipate with this concept.
The fact is that a two million barrel-per-day surplus in oil supplies will continue to weigh on prices in the short term and even if these countries freeze output, they would still need more drastic efforts to support prices in the long term.
From my own perspective, it looks like their ultimate goal is to reach a certain consensus and, if they actually get there, I would expect them to quickly focus on actually reducing production in the long term. In any case, analysts estimate that maintaining production at current levels will probably not have a significant effect on prices.
Christopher Thomas Whitty
Marketing Manager - Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 03 March 16
RIO TINTO COMPLETES SALE OF INTEREST IN BENGALLA JOINT VENTURE FOR US$616.7 MILLION
COALspot.com: Rio Tinto has completed the sale of its 40 per cent interest in the Bengalla coal Joint Venture in Australia to New Hope Corporation ...
Wednesday, 02 March 16
RE-EVALUATION OF MINING LICENSES CLEAN AND CLEAR STATUS IN INDONESIA
COALspot.com: In connection with the transfer of mining authority from Regents/Mayors to Governors1 and from Regents/Mayors and Governors to t ...
Wednesday, 02 March 16
OIL MY GOD.....!!!!
OIL my GOD….!!!!
The oil price “crash” that started in 2014 was caused by a glut of practically unwanted oil. Producers had be ...
Tuesday, 01 March 16
CS 42 (4200 GAR) COAL INDEX CLOSED AT US$ 27.11 A TON ON 26 FEBRUARY
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin decline 0.31 percent week over week to averaging $38.77 per ton on this past Friday, ...
Tuesday, 01 March 16
CAN BULKCARRIER SUPPLY CUTS RESTORE SOME BALANCE? - CLARKSONS
The easing in bulkcarrier deliveries and the accelerated pace of demolition in recent years has seen bulkcarrier fleet growth slow from a rapid 17% ...
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
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