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Wednesday, 16 March 16
OIL SUPPLY OUTPACES DEMAND ON ANY GIVEN DAY, AND BILLIONS OF BARRELS OF OIL ARE BEING STORED RATHER THAN CONSUMED - CHRISTOPHER
 Oil producers have turned to the concept of limiting their output to January levels as a certain form of action to boost prices that have fallen more than 70% since the middle of 2014. Oil supply outpaces demand on any given day, and billions of barrels of oil are being stored rather than consumed. As a result, oil prices have collapsed to as low as $26 per barrel in February, from well over $100 in 2014.
It is interesting that currently, Iran and Iraq both play an important role in the contemplated production freeze. Iran has already been increasing production and the country’s position is that it would consider oil-production caps only after the country’s output rises back to the levels before the West imposed sanctions over its nuclear program.
Basically Iran wants to increase production now, in an attempt to revive their share in the global markets, before they even consider discussing about participating in an output freeze. Iraq also has a longstanding policy of seeking to raise production regardless of the price-stabilizing policies of the OPEC.
Russia said that OPEC’s meeting with other key oil producers regarding an output freeze will probably be held in Doha, Qatar in April. They said that Iran supports the plan, while Tehran says it wants to double its crude exports to 4 million bpd first.
However, in reality according to the latest oil market data, both Russia and Saudi Arabia ramped up their oil production in February, despite talks about supply caps. Russian oil supply reached a new high of 11.08 million barrels a day in February, and Saudi Arabia during the same month increased its daily output by 14,000 barrels, to 10.14 million barrels per day, according to OPEC's analysis of market sources.
Generally speaking, countries are less willing to freeze and especially to cut production, because doing so means giving up market share for their oil, which might be hard to win back especially during this transition period. The four major oil powers, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Venezuela and Qatar, are heavily involved in the various discussions and the coordinated efforts will probably include soon also non OPEC countries such as Oman, Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan.
Assuming all are on board, the oil glut could begin to ease, particularly with American output on the decline. Or at least that is what they anticipate with this concept.
The fact is that a two million barrel-per-day surplus in oil supplies will continue to weigh on prices in the short term and even if these countries freeze output, they would still need more drastic efforts to support prices in the long term.
From my own perspective, it looks like their ultimate goal is to reach a certain consensus and, if they actually get there, I would expect them to quickly focus on actually reducing production in the long term. In any case, analysts estimate that maintaining production at current levels will probably not have a significant effect on prices.
Christopher Thomas Whitty
Marketing Manager - Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 11 April 16
BDI ROSE TO ITS HIGHEST LEVEL IN FOUR MONTHS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities continued to rose this week.
The freight market was ...
Friday, 08 April 16
COASTAL ENERGEN CROSSES GENERATION OF 1068 MW AND EXPORT OF 1004 MW FROM ITS 1200 MW IPP
COALspot.com: Coal & Oil (C&O) Group, an India centric Energy & Infrastructure company announced that their Coastal Energen' ...
Friday, 08 April 16
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION ESTIMATES DIP 5.4% TO 11 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 11 million short ...
Friday, 08 April 16
MINISTER OF ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCES OF INDONESIA TO ISSUE REGULATION TO GUARANTEE THE COAL SUPPLY TO ITS 35K POWER PLANT PROJECTS
COALspot.com: In order to guarantee the supply of coal for 35,000 megawatt (mw) coal based power plants ( still in planning stage), the Minister of ...
Thursday, 07 April 16
CHINA STEEL CAPACITY CUTS FACE SOCIAL, FINANCIAL HURDLES - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings says today that the Chinese government's supply-side reform of the steel sector faces immense social and financial challenges. Th ...
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- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Planning Commission, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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