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Wednesday, 16 March 16
OIL SUPPLY OUTPACES DEMAND ON ANY GIVEN DAY, AND BILLIONS OF BARRELS OF OIL ARE BEING STORED RATHER THAN CONSUMED - CHRISTOPHER
 Oil producers have turned to the concept of limiting their output to January levels as a certain form of action to boost prices that have fallen more than 70% since the middle of 2014. Oil supply outpaces demand on any given day, and billions of barrels of oil are being stored rather than consumed. As a result, oil prices have collapsed to as low as $26 per barrel in February, from well over $100 in 2014.
It is interesting that currently, Iran and Iraq both play an important role in the contemplated production freeze. Iran has already been increasing production and the country’s position is that it would consider oil-production caps only after the country’s output rises back to the levels before the West imposed sanctions over its nuclear program.
Basically Iran wants to increase production now, in an attempt to revive their share in the global markets, before they even consider discussing about participating in an output freeze. Iraq also has a longstanding policy of seeking to raise production regardless of the price-stabilizing policies of the OPEC.
Russia said that OPEC’s meeting with other key oil producers regarding an output freeze will probably be held in Doha, Qatar in April. They said that Iran supports the plan, while Tehran says it wants to double its crude exports to 4 million bpd first.
However, in reality according to the latest oil market data, both Russia and Saudi Arabia ramped up their oil production in February, despite talks about supply caps. Russian oil supply reached a new high of 11.08 million barrels a day in February, and Saudi Arabia during the same month increased its daily output by 14,000 barrels, to 10.14 million barrels per day, according to OPEC's analysis of market sources.
Generally speaking, countries are less willing to freeze and especially to cut production, because doing so means giving up market share for their oil, which might be hard to win back especially during this transition period. The four major oil powers, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Venezuela and Qatar, are heavily involved in the various discussions and the coordinated efforts will probably include soon also non OPEC countries such as Oman, Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan.
Assuming all are on board, the oil glut could begin to ease, particularly with American output on the decline. Or at least that is what they anticipate with this concept.
The fact is that a two million barrel-per-day surplus in oil supplies will continue to weigh on prices in the short term and even if these countries freeze output, they would still need more drastic efforts to support prices in the long term.
From my own perspective, it looks like their ultimate goal is to reach a certain consensus and, if they actually get there, I would expect them to quickly focus on actually reducing production in the long term. In any case, analysts estimate that maintaining production at current levels will probably not have a significant effect on prices.
Christopher Thomas Whitty
Marketing Manager - Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 08 June 16
THE DRY BULK MARKET KEPT MOVING SIDEWAYS LAST WEEK; SECOND HAND PURCHASES MOVING NORTH - INTERMODAL
Once again its Posidonia time and the biannual exhibition takes place during a very warm June here in Athens, as if the performance of the dry bulk ...
Tuesday, 07 June 16
CS COAL INDEX ROSE FOR SECOND STRAIGHT WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was up 0.38 percent week over week to averaging $39.16 per ton this past week, shows ...
Monday, 06 June 16
BDI GAINED ON A STRONGER DEMAND FOR CAPESIZE SHIPS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose this past week on a stronger demand for Capesize ves ...
Friday, 03 June 16
DRY BULK VESSEL DELIVERIES COULD BE LESS THAN 50 MILLION DWT IN 2016, AS OWNERS DELAY OR CANCEL NEWBUILDING ORDERS
The dry bulk market has been caught between a rock and a hard place over the course of the past couple of years, as on one hand demand has plunged, ...
Friday, 03 June 16
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION SLIDES 1.3% - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 11.5 million short tons (mm ...
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Coal Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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