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Wednesday, 09 March 16
U.S. COAL EXPORTS DECLINED 24% (74 MMST) IN 2015; COAL PRODUCTION IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE BY 111 MMST IN 2016 - EIA
 U.S. Coal Supply
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production for February 2016 was 54 million short tons (MMst), a 4 MMst (7%) decrease from the previous month and 18 MMst less than in February 2015.
According to EIA, Forecast coal production is expected to decrease by 111 MMst (12%) in 2016, which would be the largest annual percentage decline since 1958. In 2016, forecast Appalachian and Western region production declines by 9% and 17%, respectively, and Interior region production falls by 4%. Total coal production is expected to stabilize in 2017, increasing by 16 MMst (2%).
Interior region production, which accounted for 13% of coal production 10 years ago, is projected to account for 21% of production in 2016 and 2017. This increase in share reflects the region's growing competitive advantages compared with other U.S. coal-producing regions despite its higher sulfur content. These advantages include Interior coal's higher heat content, closer proximity to major markets than Western region coal, the prevalence of sulfur dioxide scrubbers at coal-fired electric generating units to comply with the Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (MATS), and lower mining costs than Appalachia-produced coal, EIA said in its latest short-term energy outlook.
Electric power sector coal stockpiles were 197 MMst in December, a 4% increase from November. This atypical increase in winter coal stockpiles can be attributed to the December decrease in daily coal consumption because of record warm temperatures and lower coal use for electricity generation. December coal inventories averaged 158 MMst during the previous 10 years (2005-14).
Coal Consumption
EIA estimates that U.S. coal consumption decreased by 13% in 2015, mainly as a result of a 13% drop in electric power sector consumption. Coal consumption in the electric power sector is forecast to decline by 29 MMst (4%) in 2016 as a result of mild winter weather and continuing competition with natural gas generation. Electric power sector coal consumption is forecast to increase by 10 MMst (1%) in 2017 primarily because of rising natural gas prices. Retirements of coal-fired power plants, because of increased competition with natural gas generation and the industry response to the implementation of MATS, reduce coal-fired generation capacity in the forecast period.
Coal Trade
According to EIA, slower growth in world coal demand and lower international coal prices have contributed to a decline in U.S. coal exports . Lower mining costs, cheaper transportation costs, and favorable exchange rates are expected to continue to provide an advantage to mines in other major coal-exporting countries compared with U.S. producers over the next few years.
EIA estimates U.S. coal exports decreased 23 MMst (24%) in 2015, falling to 74 MMst. The current global coal market trends are expected to continue, and coal exports are forecast to decline by an additional 10 MMst (13%) in 2016 and by 3 MMst (5%) in 2017.
U.S. coal imports were estimated at 11 MMst in 2015. Atlantic and Gulf Coast power generators are forecast to generally maintain their current levels of coal imports, primarily from Latin America. Imports are projected to total about 10 MMst in 2016 and 11 MMst in 2017.
Coal Prices
EIA estimates the delivered coal price averaged $2.23/MMBtu in 2015. Forecast prices are $2.18/MMBtu in 2016 and $2.20/MMBtu in 2017.
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Wednesday, 11 November 15
VESSEL VALUES ARE DOWN BY AT LEAST 20% SINCE MID-AUGUST - INTERMODAL
I had promised not to spend another broker’s insight focusing on the dry bulk side. However, the sale of the M/V Churchill Bulker (179,362 dw ...
Tuesday, 10 November 15
SELF-HEATING OF COAL HAS EMPHASISED THE IMPORTANCE OF CHECKING THE ACCURACY OF SHIPPER'S DECLARATIONS - GARD
Recent incidents involving self-heating of coal has emphasised the importance of checking the accuracy of shipper’s declarations for all type ...
Tuesday, 10 November 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP SLIDES CONTINUE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $3.55 per ton (8.50%) month over month to US$ 38.20 per ton. The swap ...
Monday, 09 November 15
BUNKER PRICES TO KEEP SLIDING THIS WEEK, EXPERT SAYS - MARINE BUNKER EXCHANGE
The oil price volatility has continued this week. Two dollars up one day and the next day two dollars down. The oil market has been trading on the ...
Monday, 09 November 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA THERMAL COAL SWAP FOR Q3' 16 CONTRACT DECLINED US$ 4 PER TON
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery declined US$ 4.35 (9.03 %) per ton month over month.
A commodity swa ...
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The University of Queensland
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
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