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Wednesday, 09 March 16
U.S. COAL EXPORTS DECLINED 24% (74 MMST) IN 2015; COAL PRODUCTION IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE BY 111 MMST IN 2016 - EIA
 U.S. Coal Supply
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production for February 2016 was 54 million short tons (MMst), a 4 MMst (7%) decrease from the previous month and 18 MMst less than in February 2015.
According to EIA, Forecast coal production is expected to decrease by 111 MMst (12%) in 2016, which would be the largest annual percentage decline since 1958. In 2016, forecast Appalachian and Western region production declines by 9% and 17%, respectively, and Interior region production falls by 4%. Total coal production is expected to stabilize in 2017, increasing by 16 MMst (2%).
Interior region production, which accounted for 13% of coal production 10 years ago, is projected to account for 21% of production in 2016 and 2017. This increase in share reflects the region's growing competitive advantages compared with other U.S. coal-producing regions despite its higher sulfur content. These advantages include Interior coal's higher heat content, closer proximity to major markets than Western region coal, the prevalence of sulfur dioxide scrubbers at coal-fired electric generating units to comply with the Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (MATS), and lower mining costs than Appalachia-produced coal, EIA said in its latest short-term energy outlook.
Electric power sector coal stockpiles were 197 MMst in December, a 4% increase from November. This atypical increase in winter coal stockpiles can be attributed to the December decrease in daily coal consumption because of record warm temperatures and lower coal use for electricity generation. December coal inventories averaged 158 MMst during the previous 10 years (2005-14).
Coal Consumption
EIA estimates that U.S. coal consumption decreased by 13% in 2015, mainly as a result of a 13% drop in electric power sector consumption. Coal consumption in the electric power sector is forecast to decline by 29 MMst (4%) in 2016 as a result of mild winter weather and continuing competition with natural gas generation. Electric power sector coal consumption is forecast to increase by 10 MMst (1%) in 2017 primarily because of rising natural gas prices. Retirements of coal-fired power plants, because of increased competition with natural gas generation and the industry response to the implementation of MATS, reduce coal-fired generation capacity in the forecast period.
Coal Trade
According to EIA, slower growth in world coal demand and lower international coal prices have contributed to a decline in U.S. coal exports . Lower mining costs, cheaper transportation costs, and favorable exchange rates are expected to continue to provide an advantage to mines in other major coal-exporting countries compared with U.S. producers over the next few years.
EIA estimates U.S. coal exports decreased 23 MMst (24%) in 2015, falling to 74 MMst. The current global coal market trends are expected to continue, and coal exports are forecast to decline by an additional 10 MMst (13%) in 2016 and by 3 MMst (5%) in 2017.
U.S. coal imports were estimated at 11 MMst in 2015. Atlantic and Gulf Coast power generators are forecast to generally maintain their current levels of coal imports, primarily from Latin America. Imports are projected to total about 10 MMst in 2016 and 11 MMst in 2017.
Coal Prices
EIA estimates the delivered coal price averaged $2.23/MMBtu in 2015. Forecast prices are $2.18/MMBtu in 2016 and $2.20/MMBtu in 2017.
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Wednesday, 29 June 16
THE DRY BULK INDICES, OPPOSITE TO MOST GLOBAL MARKET INDICES, ROSE END OF LAST WEEK
Last week closed off with a massive shockwave for markets across the world following the British referendum, the result of which will mark the begi ...
Tuesday, 28 June 16
WEEKLY CS COAL INDICES ROSE ON RENEWED DEMAND FROM CHINA
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was up by 0.66 percent week over week to averaging $39.65 per ton this past week, sh ...
Tuesday, 28 June 16
CHINA'S IRON ORE IMPORTS: HOW MUCH MORE WORK FOR CAPES? - CLARKSONS
Chinese iron ore imports account for around two thirds of global seaborne iron ore shipments, making it the key driver of Capesize employment. Whil ...
Monday, 27 June 16
LATEST NEWS ON BIMCO'S CONTRACTS AND CLAUSES
BIMCO is currently updating several of its most widely used charter parties including SUPPLYTIME and BARECON. New developments include the Standard ...
Monday, 27 June 16
BREXIT RESULT COULD SEE UK FACING AN EXODUS OF MARITIME TALENT - FASTSTREAM
The UK’s decision to leave the EU has the potential to drive many of its maritime employees away, according to the results of a survey issued ...
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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