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Wednesday, 02 March 16
OIL MY GOD.....!!!!
 OIL my GOD….!!!!
The oil price “crash” that started in 2014 was caused by a glut of practically unwanted oil. Producers had been providing the world with about 2million barrels a day more than what demand supported.
Today oil is trading at its 12 year low, 70% down today since mid-2014. Low oil prices might be welcome by consumers and businesses, but economies, financial markets, oil and gas producers, are not on the same side of the table. We feel the need to focus on the present OPEC talks about a possible cut back in production so to lift prices off the low levels of today. Last week, Saudi Arabia and Russia the world’s biggest oil producers joined Venezuela, Kuwait and Qatar in an agreement to cap output. As per talks, all countries agree to cut back their respective production, with the prerequisite that this will be a unanimous decision by all.
It is very uncertain if Iran would participate in such decision, as finally being in a post-sanctions era, the country will try to regain market share and that will surely involve growing production. True expectation from this action is to find a better equilibrium and to match supply with demand as today supply still exceeds demand and record global oil stockpiles continue to mount. A production freeze would not create an immediate price shock, however if an agreement comes into place soon, we should see oil prices correcting upwards sometime in the 2nd half of this year.
Moving on to our industry, it is no secret that tankers have been enjoying great rates because of increased oil demand, while they have been also benefiting from low bunker prices. Bulkers, despite suffering severely due to low freights, have pretty much found a lifejacket in the form of low bunker costs, although –something that is not often said - slow steaming is no longer slow, which in itself has been weighing down on rates.
Although the effects of low oil prices on both tankers and bulkers have been widely discussed, little has been said for the positive effects that the Passenger and Ro-Pax sectors have been enjoying. About two years ago, bunker expenses where accounting for more than 65% of their voyage operating costs. Today that bunkers have been reduced by 70%, these costs represent about 20% of the present voyage costs.
Needless to say that currently and without taking into consideration any increase in demand for their services nor any increase in car/truck and passenger traffic, these ships have had a significant improvement in their generated net profits. On top of that, there is a lack of tonnage available particularly in the 110-130m LOA size and also in the 2,000-2,500 passenger capacity and 2,000-3,000 lane meter garage space. Not many ships were built post 2000 as prevailing bunker prices then made operation of these ships marginally profitable or non-profitable at all. Values of existing ships have increased, as the cash flow generated is attractive and lacking any replacement candidates.
To put it simply; the cost of replacement is practically the cost of building a new ship! All these factors have boomed the Ro-Pax business both domestically here in Greece as well as internationally and the prospects for this niche market seem very positive for the future times ahead. Interest is there to invest and also to build new ships based on LNG fueled and other innovative ship design developments.
By John N. Cotzias
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 12 April 16
NO FURTHER SIGNIFICANT COAL PRICE DECLINES IN THE FUTURE - FITCH
COALspot.com: Fitch does not expect further significant coal price declines because producers sector-wide are suffering losses while China and Indo ...
Monday, 11 April 16
ON THE TIGHTROPE, IT CAN BE HARD TO KEEP YOUR BALANCE.... - CLARKSONS
Today’s headlines often point towards the impact of the demand side on the state of health of the shipping markets. But despite the fact that ...
Monday, 11 April 16
WEEKLY CS (I) COAL INDEX FOR 5700 GAR COAL UP 0.03 CENTS, OR ABOUT 0.06 PERCENT, TO $48.21 A TON
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin fell 0.15 percent week over week to averaging $38.82 per ton on this past Friday, ac ...
Monday, 11 April 16
COAL IS NOT THE ENEMY TO FIGHT - ANDREA CLAVARINO, ASSOCARBONI
COALspot.com: “Coal is not the enemy to fight and electricity production from coal has an environmental impact in its lifecycle similar to na ...
Monday, 11 April 16
FORTY INDIAN COAL IMPORTERS UNDER THE DRI SCANNER FOR OVER-INVOICING : HINDU BUSINESS LINE
The Finance Ministry and the Directorate of Revenue Intelligence (DRI) of India are said to have stepped up investigations into the alleged over-in ...
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- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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