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Friday, 12 February 16
DRY BULK MARKET'S FORTUNES STILL TIED WITH CHINA'S ECONOMY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The inevitable slowdown of the Chinese economy was expected to hurt dry bulk shipping, but few expected the blow to be this hard, especially given that the world’s second largest economy is still growing at a more than respectable pace. However, issues inherent with the dry bulk industry itself, like for instance the tonnage oversupply, have led freight rates to record setting lows over the course of the past few months. So, as we leave the Chinese year of the Wooden Sheep and enter the year of the Fire Monkey, hope is again on the horizon for a turnaround, sooner, rather than later.
According to Allied Shipbroking’s latest weekly report, “the Chinese economy has gone through a bumpy road these last 12 months, with the Dry Bulk market closely following in suit and suffering as a consequence. China has been the driving force behind much of the global growth noted during the 2000’s, with its fast paced infrastructure development and it’s ever in-creasing production lines, making it seem like a mammoth panda with a never ending appetite for commodities”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, “somewhere within 2015, this illusion disintegrated in the minds of many in the ship-ping industry as they witnessed a sudden drop in the growth of shipments and a col-lapse in the freight market. At the same time, China was showing a decrease in its GDP growth rate while also noting consecutive months of decreasing manufacturing data and a sudden halt and crash in its stock market. The shock waves quickly reverberated across the world, pulling down the price of commodities further and hitting the bottom line of many countries which used their vast exports of these commodities to China in order to feed their own prosperity”.
Lazaridis added that “with all this well and said, many now feel as if there is no escape from this never ending downward spiral. China, despite all the growth and wealth that has been generated over the past 15 years, still holds a fairly low GDP per capita compared to OECD countries. Combining this with the fact that it has only just started to undertake the transformation (moving from a cheap manufacturing location to an economy supported by innovation, technological development and highly skilled services) and you see that there is still plenty of room for further economic growth”.
Allied’s analyst also noted that “having witnessed similar economic shifts in countries such as Japan and S. Korea in the past, this transitional phase is fairly tricky to accomplish and key in keeping the growth momentum generated during the export -oriented growth phase on track. If and when this next phase succeeds, it will be creating a vast “army” of higher income consumers, which in turn will be able to support another round of global economic growth in the way consumers in the U.S. and Europe did during the 2000’s. This of course is in theory, as it is highly dependent on several market aspects. For example, when talking about the economic drive of the 2000’s for example, it is important to note that these U.S. and European consumers managed their ever increasing consumption on masses amount of cheap debt”.
He concluded by saying that “for the moment however, Chinese consumers have focused the majority of their spending on locally produced goods and services, as such only feeding China’s internal economy and insufficiently as it seems, as the decreasing growth in exports means that it is quickly having to really more and more on its own consumers which are not there yet to cover the gap left behind. Taking into account the “monkey” business that has been taking place in cases that have surfaced both in relation to the stock market as well as giant “Ponzi” schemes and you can tell that the Chinese economy is not only still in its infancy compared to a “developed” economy but it is also making the same mistakes as those done by the current “developed” economies. All concluding, the year of the Fire Monkey will be a year of transitions and it is to how successful these transitions will turn out to be that will dictate the next course of global trade. Till then wishing all our friends in the Far East, Gong Xi Fa Cai”.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 08 February 16
DRY-BULK SHIPPING DIVING DEEP
COALspot.com: The freight markets continued to fall this past week.
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) of dry-bulk shipping freights, a measure of glo ...
Monday, 08 February 16
DRY BULK: SHIPBROKER SEES BDI MARKET REACHING LOW POINT OF 236 POINTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The endless pit that is the dry bulk market over the past two months, has been the issue of debate among ship owners, shipbroker and analysts alike ...
Friday, 05 February 16
COAL INDIA EYES COAL MINES IN SOUTH AFRICA - PTI
“Coal India Ltd has plans of acquiring coal mines in South Africa,” an official said. It is looking at acquiring mines in partnership w ...
Friday, 05 February 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT ROSE 4.2% TO 13.6 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.6 million shor ...
Thursday, 04 February 16
CAPESIZE: WEST AUSTRALIAN TO CHINA HAS BEEN CONCLUDED AT US$ 2.85 PMT AND THE C3 MARKET REMAINS INACTIVE - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
As everyone is getting ready for the Chinese new year, already depressed rates are under further pressure.
According to Fearnleys, ...
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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