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Friday, 12 February 16
DRY BULK MARKET'S FORTUNES STILL TIED WITH CHINA'S ECONOMY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The inevitable slowdown of the Chinese economy was expected to hurt dry bulk shipping, but few expected the blow to be this hard, especially given that the world’s second largest economy is still growing at a more than respectable pace. However, issues inherent with the dry bulk industry itself, like for instance the tonnage oversupply, have led freight rates to record setting lows over the course of the past few months. So, as we leave the Chinese year of the Wooden Sheep and enter the year of the Fire Monkey, hope is again on the horizon for a turnaround, sooner, rather than later.
According to Allied Shipbroking’s latest weekly report, “the Chinese economy has gone through a bumpy road these last 12 months, with the Dry Bulk market closely following in suit and suffering as a consequence. China has been the driving force behind much of the global growth noted during the 2000’s, with its fast paced infrastructure development and it’s ever in-creasing production lines, making it seem like a mammoth panda with a never ending appetite for commodities”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, “somewhere within 2015, this illusion disintegrated in the minds of many in the ship-ping industry as they witnessed a sudden drop in the growth of shipments and a col-lapse in the freight market. At the same time, China was showing a decrease in its GDP growth rate while also noting consecutive months of decreasing manufacturing data and a sudden halt and crash in its stock market. The shock waves quickly reverberated across the world, pulling down the price of commodities further and hitting the bottom line of many countries which used their vast exports of these commodities to China in order to feed their own prosperity”.
Lazaridis added that “with all this well and said, many now feel as if there is no escape from this never ending downward spiral. China, despite all the growth and wealth that has been generated over the past 15 years, still holds a fairly low GDP per capita compared to OECD countries. Combining this with the fact that it has only just started to undertake the transformation (moving from a cheap manufacturing location to an economy supported by innovation, technological development and highly skilled services) and you see that there is still plenty of room for further economic growth”.
Allied’s analyst also noted that “having witnessed similar economic shifts in countries such as Japan and S. Korea in the past, this transitional phase is fairly tricky to accomplish and key in keeping the growth momentum generated during the export -oriented growth phase on track. If and when this next phase succeeds, it will be creating a vast “army” of higher income consumers, which in turn will be able to support another round of global economic growth in the way consumers in the U.S. and Europe did during the 2000’s. This of course is in theory, as it is highly dependent on several market aspects. For example, when talking about the economic drive of the 2000’s for example, it is important to note that these U.S. and European consumers managed their ever increasing consumption on masses amount of cheap debt”.
He concluded by saying that “for the moment however, Chinese consumers have focused the majority of their spending on locally produced goods and services, as such only feeding China’s internal economy and insufficiently as it seems, as the decreasing growth in exports means that it is quickly having to really more and more on its own consumers which are not there yet to cover the gap left behind. Taking into account the “monkey” business that has been taking place in cases that have surfaced both in relation to the stock market as well as giant “Ponzi” schemes and you can tell that the Chinese economy is not only still in its infancy compared to a “developed” economy but it is also making the same mistakes as those done by the current “developed” economies. All concluding, the year of the Fire Monkey will be a year of transitions and it is to how successful these transitions will turn out to be that will dictate the next course of global trade. Till then wishing all our friends in the Far East, Gong Xi Fa Cai”.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 19 February 16
INDONESIAN HBA HITS A NEW LOWS BELOW $51 A TON AS OVERSUPPLY, LOW DEMAND WOES PERSIST
COALspot.com: Low coal demand and excess supplies sent Indonesian benchmark coal price further deep in February 2016. HBA has slumped second time t ...
Friday, 19 February 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ROSE 2.6% FROM LAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.2 million shor ...
Thursday, 18 February 16
INDIA NEEDS INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT ON HIGH EFFICIENCY COAL - WORLD COAL ASSOCIATION
Speaking at a conference in New Delhi today, World Coal Association Chief Executive Benjamin Sporton said the critical role of coal in driving econ ...
Thursday, 18 February 16
CHINA COAL SECTOR - 2015 RESULTS BLEAK, 2016 UNLIKELY TO BE ANY BETTER - FITCH
COALspot.com: China Coal Sector’s Financial Woes to Worsen in 2016.
Fitch Ratings says that the 2015 full-year result previews issued by ...
Thursday, 18 February 16
PANAMAX RATES OUT OF ECSA WERE STILL GAINING A PREMIUM OVER THE REST OF THE MARKET - INTERMODAL
The BDI moved further down last week, fact that hardly took anyone by surprise as the lunar year holidays in Asia on top of the already depre ...
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- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PTC India Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
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