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Monday, 08 February 16
DRY BULK: SHIPBROKER SEES BDI MARKET REACHING LOW POINT OF 236 POINTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 The endless pit that is the dry bulk market over the past two months, has been the issue of debate among ship owners, shipbroker and analysts alike, as market delegates are looking for ways to cope with the record low freight rates and determine whether the market will go next. In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Allied Shipbroking said that “with January having closed off with record lows on almost all dry indices (the exception is for the Capesize index which thanks to a small rally during the final week managed to prop slightly higher than the low of 185 points that was achieved on the 19th), many are feeling the pressure and are worried that this market has no bottom and has turned into an endless black hole”.
According to Allied’s Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, Mr. George Lazaridis, “the initial resistance point many believed the market would reach was at 345 in the BDI. This was reached this Tuesday, with quick softening followed on subsequent days easily breaking below this level. The next point in sight that it seems should provide some resistance to further drops should be at around 298 points”. This was also reached on Thursday, while Friday’s session saw thw BDI closing at 297 points. Lazaridis said that “to put this index value into perspective and given the current state of each of the individual markets, this point would refer to average TCE rates of the Capesize at around US$ 2,618pd, that of Panamaxes at US$ 2,161pd, Supramaxes at US$ 2,989pd and that of Handysizes at US$ 3,034pd.”
Yet, the main question still remains as to if this will really be a resistance level that will be hard to break. According to Lazaridis, “Logically there is a level at which the market just doesn’t make sense for anyone to trade below that point. This however depends on a number of factors with most prominent that of the time period that has passed under which the market has been receiving “subpar” rates. To explain this further, owners might be willing to accept abnormally low freight rates if they know it will only be for one-two voyages (i.e. it is a small glitch in the market). However, it is nonsensical to continually trade for long periods of time at a constant loss. Therefore, given the fact that we have been seeing these poor freight levels for around two months now and given the rumours of many owners in the market already looking seriously into their options in terms of cold lay-up, it makes sense to assume that we are under the case of the latter and are likely going to hit a level deemed as the absolute low the market can sustain for now”, Allied’s analyst noted.
He added: “Noting at the same time that we have already seen a break in the consecutive negative days posted in the Capesize market, it looks as though we can presume that this size segment might well have reached its absolute low under the current market conditions, fluctuating thereafter at levels just above and just below this until the market finds a foothold from where to improve. Taking the same premise however on all the other size segments and we see that this next theoretical resistance point will likely be reached easily within this week and could possibly drop even further”.
According to Lazaridis, “a more reasonable resistance level is likely going to prove to be at 236 points on the BDI, a level that will be hard to reach as it will require the combination of all four size segments reaching their theoretical “breaking points” at the same time, but given the market conditions we have seen over the past month, it doesn’t sound like it’s an unthinkable scenario either. Nevertheless, all this will prove to be theoretical, as in practice the market may well have further surprises down the road. The current levels are already well below what the majority of owners can sustain given their OPEX levels, as such pushing more and more to take up options such as that of scrapping or layingup vessels and in turn helping improve the supply side of things”. On the demand side of things many are hopeful of slightly better interest from Charterers after the Chinese New Year, however these hopes have faltered in the past and may well do again”, he concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide
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Friday, 22 January 16
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION ESTIMATES ALMOST FLAT
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.3 million shor ...
Friday, 22 January 16
COAL PRICES TO REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE THIS YEAR
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and week over week. The falling trend of prices for coal was continuing ...
Friday, 22 January 16
Q3' 16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 40.80; DECLINE $ 2.80 M-O-M
COALspot.com: Q1’ 2016 API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap up month over month and decline week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 FOB Richards B ...
Wednesday, 20 January 16
Q3'16 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED $ 2.40 LESSER THAN Q1'16 CLOSING PRICE OF $ 38.10
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery rose another $0.77 per ton (2.06%) this past week compared to the sam ...
Wednesday, 20 January 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - NASOS SOULAKIS
If you believe in the “January effect”, the theory according to which the beginning of a new year has a positive effect on financial in ...
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Showing 2596 to 2600 news of total 6871 |
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Planning Commission, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The University of Queensland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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