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Wednesday, 13 January 16
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED BY 109 MMST IN 2015; COAL EXPORTS DECREASED 21% Y-O-Y
.jpg) COALspot.com: U.S. coal production declined by 109 million short tons (MMst) (11%) in 2015, the largest decline ever recorded, says EIA.
The 2015 drop in production occurred in all coal-producing regions, with the largest percentage decrease occurring in the Appalachian region (15%). Production in the Interior region, which includes the Illinois Basin, declined by 11% in 2015, which was the first decline in that region since 2009. Western region production declined by 9%, with production below 500 MMst for the first time since 1998, EIA says in its latest short-term energy outlook.
According to EIA’s short-term energy outlook, U.S. coal production continues to decline over the next two years. Production is projected to fall by 38 MMst (4%) in 2016 and by an additional 9 MMst (1%) in 2017.
However, Interior region production, which accounted for only 13% of coal production 10 years ago (2006), is projected to account for 20% of production in 2016 and 2017. This increase in share reflects the region's growing competitive advantages compared to the other coal-producing regions. These factors include the higher heat content of the coal, closer proximity to major markets than coal produced in the Western region, and lower mining costs than Appalachian-produced coal. Appalachian production, which accounted for 34% of production 10 years ago, is projected to decline to 24% in 2016 and 2017. The Western region's share, which was 53% 10 years ago, increases to 56% in 2016 and 2017.
US’s Electric power sector coal stockpiles were 176 MMst in October, an 8% increase from September, which is similar to the typical seasonal pattern. October coal inventories averaged 155 MMst during the previous 10 years (2005-14). Coal stockpiles are still relatively high because of the loss in market share to natural gas for power generation.
Coal Consumption
EIA estimates that, the coal consumption in U.S. decreased by 11% in 2015, mainly as a result of an 11% drop in electric power sector consumption. Lower natural gas prices are the primary driver of the decrease in coal consumption. Low natural gas prices make it more economical to increase generation at natural gas-fired units and to decrease generation at coal-fired units. Retirements of coal-fired power plants, stemming from both increased competition with natural gas generation and the implementation of the Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (MATS), also reduce coal-fired generation capacity, but the full effect will not be evident until 2016.
Higher forecast natural gas prices in 2016 and 2017 are expected to contribute to higher utilization rates among the remaining coal-fired power plants. This higher utilization rate somewhat mitigates the effect of lower consumption from coal-plant retirements. Coal consumption in the electric power sector is forecast to remain relatively unchanged in 2016. In 2017, increases in nuclear (1%), hydropower (8%), and other renewable-based (12%) electricity generation are forecast to contribute to a 1% decline in electric power sector coal consumption.
Coal Trade
Slower growth in world coal demand and lower international coal prices have contributed to a decline in U.S. coal exports. Lower mining costs, cheaper transportation costs, and favorable exchange rates will continue to provide an advantage to mines in other major coal-exporting countries compared with U.S. producers over the next few years.
EIA estimates, the U.S. coal exports have decreased 20 MMst (21%) from 2014 levels to 77 MMst in 2015. The current global coal market trends are expected to continue, and coal exports are forecast to decline by an additional 9 MMst (12%) in 2016 and by 2 MMst (4%) in 2017.
While, the U.S. coal imports, which were 11 MMst in 2014, remained at that level in 2015. Coal imports, primarily from Latin America, are forecast to maintain their market share with power generators along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts, as imported coal's delivered price in those markets remains competitive with prices for domestically produced coal. Imports are projected to average just under 11 MMst in 2016 and 2017.
Coal Prices
The annual average price of coal to the electric power sector averaged $2.36/MMBtu in 2014. EIA estimates the delivered coal price averaged $2.23/MMBtu in 2015.
Forecast prices are $2.19/MMBtu in 2016 and $2.20/MMBtu in 2017.
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Friday, 25 December 15
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION ESTIMATES DIP 8.5%
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 14.7 million shor ...
Thursday, 24 December 15
Q3' 16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP SHED US$ 0.60 PER TON OVER WEEK, AND STANDS AT US$ 43.25 PER TON
COALspot.com: Q1’ 2016 API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap decline month over month and slightly up week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 FOB R ...
Thursday, 24 December 15
GLOBAL MARINE FUEL REGULATIONS COULD SHOCK REFINING AND OIL MARKETS - OPEC | HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
IMO regulations call for global standards for sulphur content in marine fuel to be tightened to 0.5% from its present 3.5%. There is uncertainty ov ...
Thursday, 24 December 15
DRY BULKERS' VALUES ARE PLUNGING - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Dry bulk carriers’ values are falling across the board, as the fall of freight rates is taking its toll, as is to be expected. In fact, accor ...
Wednesday, 23 December 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - PANOS MAKRINOS
As we are heading towards the end of the year we could argue that most of those involved in the shipping industry share mixed feelings for 2015. Th ...
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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- Planning Commission, India
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- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
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- Minerals Council of Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- White Energy Company Limited
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
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- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
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- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
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