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Wednesday, 13 January 16
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED BY 109 MMST IN 2015; COAL EXPORTS DECREASED 21% Y-O-Y
.jpg) COALspot.com: U.S. coal production declined by 109 million short tons (MMst) (11%) in 2015, the largest decline ever recorded, says EIA.
The 2015 drop in production occurred in all coal-producing regions, with the largest percentage decrease occurring in the Appalachian region (15%). Production in the Interior region, which includes the Illinois Basin, declined by 11% in 2015, which was the first decline in that region since 2009. Western region production declined by 9%, with production below 500 MMst for the first time since 1998, EIA says in its latest short-term energy outlook.
According to EIA’s short-term energy outlook, U.S. coal production continues to decline over the next two years. Production is projected to fall by 38 MMst (4%) in 2016 and by an additional 9 MMst (1%) in 2017.
However, Interior region production, which accounted for only 13% of coal production 10 years ago (2006), is projected to account for 20% of production in 2016 and 2017. This increase in share reflects the region's growing competitive advantages compared to the other coal-producing regions. These factors include the higher heat content of the coal, closer proximity to major markets than coal produced in the Western region, and lower mining costs than Appalachian-produced coal. Appalachian production, which accounted for 34% of production 10 years ago, is projected to decline to 24% in 2016 and 2017. The Western region's share, which was 53% 10 years ago, increases to 56% in 2016 and 2017.
US’s Electric power sector coal stockpiles were 176 MMst in October, an 8% increase from September, which is similar to the typical seasonal pattern. October coal inventories averaged 155 MMst during the previous 10 years (2005-14). Coal stockpiles are still relatively high because of the loss in market share to natural gas for power generation.
Coal Consumption
EIA estimates that, the coal consumption in U.S. decreased by 11% in 2015, mainly as a result of an 11% drop in electric power sector consumption. Lower natural gas prices are the primary driver of the decrease in coal consumption. Low natural gas prices make it more economical to increase generation at natural gas-fired units and to decrease generation at coal-fired units. Retirements of coal-fired power plants, stemming from both increased competition with natural gas generation and the implementation of the Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (MATS), also reduce coal-fired generation capacity, but the full effect will not be evident until 2016.
Higher forecast natural gas prices in 2016 and 2017 are expected to contribute to higher utilization rates among the remaining coal-fired power plants. This higher utilization rate somewhat mitigates the effect of lower consumption from coal-plant retirements. Coal consumption in the electric power sector is forecast to remain relatively unchanged in 2016. In 2017, increases in nuclear (1%), hydropower (8%), and other renewable-based (12%) electricity generation are forecast to contribute to a 1% decline in electric power sector coal consumption.
Coal Trade
Slower growth in world coal demand and lower international coal prices have contributed to a decline in U.S. coal exports. Lower mining costs, cheaper transportation costs, and favorable exchange rates will continue to provide an advantage to mines in other major coal-exporting countries compared with U.S. producers over the next few years.
EIA estimates, the U.S. coal exports have decreased 20 MMst (21%) from 2014 levels to 77 MMst in 2015. The current global coal market trends are expected to continue, and coal exports are forecast to decline by an additional 9 MMst (12%) in 2016 and by 2 MMst (4%) in 2017.
While, the U.S. coal imports, which were 11 MMst in 2014, remained at that level in 2015. Coal imports, primarily from Latin America, are forecast to maintain their market share with power generators along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts, as imported coal's delivered price in those markets remains competitive with prices for domestically produced coal. Imports are projected to average just under 11 MMst in 2016 and 2017.
Coal Prices
The annual average price of coal to the electric power sector averaged $2.36/MMBtu in 2014. EIA estimates the delivered coal price averaged $2.23/MMBtu in 2015.
Forecast prices are $2.19/MMBtu in 2016 and $2.20/MMBtu in 2017.
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Thursday, 28 January 16
WHAT ARE THE PROSPECTS FOR COAL IN LIGHT OF THE PARIS CLIMATE AGREEMENT? - GERMAN COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
This depends – says the VDKi – to a very great extent on who you want to believe more, the United Nations or the International Energy A ...
Thursday, 28 January 16
RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS FOR Q1,Q2 AND Q3 DELIVERIES FIRM THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Q1’ 2016 API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap rose month over month and week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 FOB Richards Bay Coa ...
Wednesday, 27 January 16
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS CLOSE MIXED
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery rose another $1.17 per ton (3.13%) this past week compared to the sam ...
Wednesday, 27 January 16
CHINA'S STALLING ECONOMY HAS HAD A GREAT EFFECT ON VARIOUS COMMODITIES; DECREASED DEMAND DRIVING COMMODITY PRICES LOWER AND LOWER - LINOS ALEXANDROS KOGEVINAS
Having gone through the first few weeks of 2016, it’s starting to look like another challenging year is ahead of us. Hopes for a recovery in ...
Wednesday, 27 January 16
WORLD HARD COAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION DECLINE IN 2015 FOR THE FIRST TIME IN OVER A DECADE - VDKI
COALspot.com: Seaborne hard coal trade and the changes in this area were decisively affected by China and India - VDKi.
China bears the g ...
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Coal Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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