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Friday, 08 January 16
DRY BULK MARKET'S CRISIS DEEPENS AS RATES ARE DROPPING TO NEW RECORD LOWS BY THE DAY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 Just when you would think that the dry bulk market is reaching its bottom, even as it has long surpassed all-time lows, each day that passes by at the start of 2016, brings about more bad news. Yesterday, the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) reached new lows, plunging by 22 points to a mere 445 points. As it turns out, things will most likely turn worse, before they get better.
In its latest weekly report, commenting on the Capesize market, shipbroker Fearnley’s noted that “as expected rates have been under pressure the first week of the new year. West Australia / China rates are up from sub 3 pmt levels during Christmas to approx USD 3,30 with a slightly further improvement expected. Fronthaul cargoes remain scarce. Some period activity with short period fixtures beeing concluded around the USD 4,500 a day for 175,000 dwts”, said the shipbroker.
Meanwhile, in the Panamax market, Fearnleys said that “activity in the Atlantic seems to increase a bit after X-mas and new year, especially grain from USG and ECSA to far east absorbing tonnage. Transatlantic roundvoyages paying arnd 4000 USD depending delivery, duration and redelivery. Cold weather and more ice can make Baltic and North Atlantic tight, if iceclassed tonnage needed. Sofar rates steady. Rates moving up for fronthaul and 10.000 + 150 bb reported fixed from USG to feast. ECSA to feast paying mid 7 k + 220 k bb.
Grain from ECSA to continent paying mid 6k for a good Kamsarmax. Nopac rounds paying 4000 USD + 100 k bb. Pacific rounds hovering around low/mid USD 3000. Period market slow but
we believe modern tonnage get arnd USD 5500 for 1 year”, the shipbroker noted.
Finally, in the Handy markets, Fearnleys said that “after a quiet holiday period, the market has slowly awakened from its slumber. Rates are not running away but the market looks like it is finding a bottom. Averages for a Surpa are now around mid USD 4000’s and only marginally down from pre Christmas levels. 2016 has started with a couple of period fixtures reported at low USD 6000’s for Ultramaxes. Thus by default Supras will only be worth something in the USD 5’s for a 12 month deal”, it concluded.
In a note this week, BIMCO said that in 2016, it expects the supply-side to grow by around 2% (2.6% in 2015E) – and that this will be helped by a new record level of scrapping. On the demand-side, growth is forecast to remain level. Challenging market conditions in China will be likely to affect the level of risk.
According to the organization’s review of 2015, “the dry bulk market experienced a troublesome 2015 as the ongoing decline in Chinese coal imports was not countered by any significant upswing elsewhere. Whereas iron ore imports were on a par with 2014, steel export from China reached a new high, benefitting mid-sized ships. For 2016, much depends on what Chinese steel mills will do. Will they continue production above domestic consumption – or substitute domestically mined ore with imported ore? The jury is still out.
At the end of November, the Baltic Dry Index hit 498, a new all-time low. For most of the year, the majority of ships have traded below OPEX levels, resulting in financial losses for many companies. The horrific first half of 2015 brought around a new half-year record for scrapping. Improvements in the freight market during Q3 regrettably cooled down demolition market activities. Nevertheless, fleet growth recorded a twelve-year low.
Meanwhile, in the newbuilding market, Fearnleys noted that “only six days into the new year, most of the contracts in the below table were reported in the latter part of December. On the tanker side aframaxes were in focus as Tsuneishi secured an order for 8 vessels of which four went to their “in-house” owners Kambara Kisen. Ship Finance went to Daehan (Korea) for two option two LR2 type product carriers to be delivered in the second part of 2017. The contract was done in combination with a 7+2 years charter to US based Energy Company. At the doorstep of a new year we expect yards to compete strongly for new contractcs in a market with diminishing demand and prices under continous pressure”, the shipbroker concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 07 January 16
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS DELIVERY Q1'16 REMAIN FLAT W-O-W; UP M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery rose another $1.23 per ton (3.35%) this past week compared to the sam ...
Thursday, 07 January 16
SHIPPING WILL REMAIN VOLATILE AND INDISPENSABLE IN 2016 - MOORE STEPHENS
The ultimate definition of an optimist has been characterised as an accordion player with an answerphone. Such extreme optimism might be difficult ...
Wednesday, 06 January 16
NEW COAL PRICE PASS-THROUGH REGULATION BENEFITS CHINA IPPS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings says the new Coal Price Pass-through Mechanism announced by the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) on 31 December ...
Tuesday, 05 January 16
BIG COAL MINERS PLAN HIGHER PRODUCTION THIS YEAR - THE JAKARTA POST
The country’s major coal miners plan to further boost production in 2016 although analysts estimate that an oversupply in the world’s c ...
Tuesday, 05 January 16
THE SHIPPING MARKET IN 2015 AND LOOKING FORWARD - BIMCO
Global economy: menacing clouds in the sky cast a shadow on global economic developments 2015 never really took off, even though the global economi ...
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- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The University of Queensland
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parliament of New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
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