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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Wednesday, 28 October 15
Q2'16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP SEES FURTHER DECLINES
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q4' 2015 gained week over week and declined month over month.
The Q4 swap was d ...
Wednesday, 28 October 15
BDI INCREASE TOOK PLACE SOLELY ON THE BACK OF CAPESIZE PERFORMANCE, BUT........ - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market closed off the week noting a small improvement which nonetheless failed to lift sentiment, not only because ...
Tuesday, 27 October 15
Q1'16 API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP DECLINE 6 PER CENT M-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q4’ 2015 delivery decreased $2 per ton (4.66%) month over month to US$ 40.93 per ton. The swa ...
Monday, 26 October 15
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 10.5 PER CENT LESS COAL IN SEPTEMBER, COMPARED TO AUGUST LOADING
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port, has shipped $1.161 billi ...
Monday, 26 October 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS CLOSE DOWN 4.3% AS DEMAND CONCERNS WEIGH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down just US$ 1.48 (3.02 %) per ton month over month.
A commodity sw ...
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- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Planning Commission, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
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