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Sunday, 22 November 15
INDIA COULD PROVIDE SILVER LINING FOR SHIPPING INDUSTRY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 The rise of India as a global player in the shipping market could be just a couple of years away, as the country has the potential to become a second “China”, in terms of stimulating seaborne demand for commodities, mainly coal and iron ore, as well as energy-related products. If one takes a closer look at the latest country focus from the International Energy Agency (IEA), he will notice that India is moving onto the center stage of global energy taking top spot in terms of coal consumption, oil demand growth and solar PV output. As one can quickly realize it is the first two that are of particular interest to the shipping industry, with coal consumption rather important for the dry bulk market and oil demand growth for the tanker industry.
In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Allied Shipbroking noted that “the reason for most of this is the rapid growth in energy consumption expected to take place amongst its 1.3 billion population, something that is relatively easy to feed for such extraordinary growth levels over the next couple of years given that 240 million of them live in rural areas without electricity, while at the same time it has one of the highest growth levels in new car ownership. Both of these will prove as influential factors propelling a close to 30% increase in coal and oil consumption by 2020”.
Allied’s George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, said that “coal is India’s primary source of energy representing 40% of its energy mix while taking its position as third largest producer and consumer worldwide. Given that India is expected to keep its coal-cantered energy approach despite the global “green” pres-sure and taking into account the increased demand it will have for power capacity and electricity generation it will be interesting to see where it will look to serve its needs given that sooner or later it will find its internal production and reserves inadequate to keep up with its growing appetite. This means that although its effect on seaborne coal trade may remain capped as it takes on efforts to increase its internal production, if its growth in demand keeps on track with what it is now it wont be long before it takes up and holds the lion share in the market. It is worth mentioning that this year to date it has already surpassed Chinese imports taking up 20% of the coal trade this year, thanks to the softer demand from the previous market leader, namely China”, he noted.
Meanwhile, “things however are quite different when it comes to oil, as India relies primarily on imports to cover both its consumer and industrial needs. With over 260m passenger cars expected to be added to its current car ownership over the next 25 years and with its industry set to take a more prominent role in the world stage, expectations are for an equally bullish increase in demand for both crude oil as well as, if not more so in oil products. The only down side to this is its prime location, situated much closer to the main Middle Eastern producers then any of the OECD members or China. This means that the benefiting tonne-miles will be fewer, though at the end of the day any boost in demand is always welcome”, Lazaridis said.
So, what are the plausible dampeners to such positive scenarios? “Well for one you are still faced with the risk of policy control which may be brought about by global environmental concerns. This is particularly an issue for coal, which might take place either through a pressure for India to decrease it reliance or even through other major consumers moving away from their reliance on this “dirty fuel”. On the side of oil it seems the biggest dampener might be technology, with current trends moving to-wards more environmentally friendly modes of transportation. Nevertheless, it looks as though there is still something to keep us hopeful for the future”, Allied’s analyst concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 24 November 15
COAL PRICES SET TO REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE UNTIL 2016 DUE TO OVER SUPPLY GLUT; H1 '16 COAL SWAPS DOWN 13% M-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $5 per ton (12.05%) month over month to US$ 36.50 per ton. The s ...
Monday, 23 November 15
NEGATIVE 2016 OUTLOOK FOR WESTERN EUROPEAN STEEL - SAYS FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: European steel in 2016 are both negative for the sector and for issuer ratings.
This reflects our expectation that import levels ...
Monday, 23 November 15
DRY BULK MARKET: NET FLEET GROWTH IS SLOWING DOWN, AS SHIP OWNERS ARE LOOKING FOR WAYS TO ALLEVIATING MARKET MELTDOWN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been in “meltdown” mode for a few weeks now, unable to find support and avoid the fall in historical lows. As s ...
Monday, 23 November 15
CS50 COAL INDEX CLOSED AT $40.27 PER TON; FELL 0.15% FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The 5700 GAR CS (i) coal index fell by US cents 3 per ton week over week on 20 November 2015. CS 57 (5700 GAR coal) index closed at U ...
Monday, 23 November 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FALL FURTHER ON LOW DEMAND
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery declined US$ 6.75 (13.99%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swa ...
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Coal Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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