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Sunday, 08 November 15
CAPESIZE FREIGHT RATES IN AUSTRALIA-CHINA ROUTES OVER 50% CHEAPER THAN BRAZIL-CHINA ROUTE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 China’s mining and steel industries are facing tectonic shifts over the past couple of years, with the country’s limiting of coal use, falling steel demand both domestic and foreign and iron ore prices tumbling to near 7-year lows as of yesterday and well below $50/ton. As such, the persistence of mining giants to keep production levels up, is puzzling.
In its latest report, shipbroker Cotzias Intermodal Shipping attempted to decode this puzzle, which is very important to the future prospects of the dry bulk shipping industry. According to the report, “four companies dominate global iron ore production, namely; BHP Billiton, Vale, Rio Tinto, and Fortescue Metals Group. Together these companies control more than 70 percent of the seaborne iron ore market”. However, despite low iron ore prices, the two major producers in Brazil and Australia have been following through with their longstanding plans to increase production.
According to Cotzias Intermodal Shipping’s Christopher Thomas Whitty, Marketing Manager, Towage & Port Agency, “the low iron ore price also comes as China’s official forecaster warned of a 20% fall in Chinese steel consumption over the next 15 years, as Beijing accelerates the shutdown of outdated and loss-making factories. Rio Tinto in Australia and Vale in Brazil, are still ramping up production. For the first nine-months of 2015, Vale’s production overall is around 8 million metric tons higher than Rio Tinto’s at 248 million metric tons, while Vale’s shipments are just over 3 million metric tons higher. Of course Australian miners still have an advantage in delivered costs to China, the main importer for iron ore. For example, Capesizes hauling the commodity from Brazil to China last week saw rates around $12/ton for the Tubarao/Qingdao route, while from Rio Tinto’s Dampier terminal in Western Australian, freight rates were slightly in excess of $5.10/ton”.
Mr. Whitty added that “it is quite interesting to see that current iron ore prices aren’t worrying Rio Tinto. Their CEO, Andrew Harding, said he’s not losing sleep, because the business line, like the miner itself, is in for the long haul. He reasons that populations will continue to grow and develop, especially in Asia and iron ore will be needed to serve their needs. In September, Rio Tinto said its modelling showed that the world would need three billion tons of iron ore by 2030”.
Meanwhile, as per Intermodal’s analyst, “on the other side of the world, Vale is also quite confident in their iron ore division after releasing their third quarter results for 2015. Their highlight is the significant cost cutting during this period, which made Vale, the company with the lowest production cost/ton in the entire sector, reach an unprecedented cost level of $ 12.7/ton of iron ore. They are trailing faster growth compared to Australian majors, who this year posted stronger increases to volumes from new capacity ramp-ups”.
He added that “this is an oversupplied market that is obviously affected by the shrinking Chinese steel demand. On the other hand, oversupplied ore trade also creates opportunities for the large players, since it means that certain high-cost producers will struggle to survive. Some iron ore mines, such as those in Canada, China and Africa, have already buckled under the pressure. Nevertheless, producers with operating costs that are far below current iron ore prices are very well-positioned to take market share in the long term. Now if several high-cost producers exit the industry, it would be quite difficult for them to re-commence operations.
Over the long term, the low-cost iron mines could potentially fill the gap that remains after smaller companies exit the market. The gain in market share will likely increase margins, operating cash flow and profits. Hopefully this could also change the dynamics in the market and positively affect the demand for seaborne trade”, Whitty concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 27 November 15
INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: WEEK ENDING 20 NOVEMBER CLOSED HIGHER COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and up on week over week. Coal prices seen slight improvements thi ...
Friday, 27 November 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS UP FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1’ 2016 up week over week and month over month.
The Q1’ 2016 swa ...
Thursday, 26 November 15
ITALY'S STEAM COAL IMPORTS EXPECTED TO REACH 16 MILLION TONS AND COKING COAL IMPORTS TO AMOUNT TO 4 MILLION TONS - ASSOCARBONI
ASSOCARBONI LOOKS AT COAL FROM A DIFFERENT ANGLE
- “Coal has made huge steps towards environmental sustainability, making itself t ...
Thursday, 26 November 15
DRY BULK MARKET WILL REBOUND EVENTUALLY, BUT THINGS WILL BECOME EVEN WORSE BEFORE THEY IMPROVE SAYS SHIPBROKER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the dry bulk market’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) reached an all-time late last week and has failed to rebound significantly eve ...
Thursday, 26 November 15
Q3'16 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FALLS 27.5% SINCE 20 FEB 2015
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $5 per ton (12.05%) month over month to US$ 36.50 per ton. The s ...
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- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Australian Coal Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The University of Queensland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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