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Thursday, 29 October 15
IRAN'S RETURN TO OIL MARKETS WILL HAVE TEMPERED IMPACT FOR THE TANKER SHIPPING INDUSTRY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
While many analysts appear to be fearful of a potential incremental rise in tanker ships’ supply, as a result of the imminent return of Iran in the global oil market, things might not necessarily pan out this way. As the world is gradually getting used to the idea that Iranian sanctions will be lifted, over the past few months further progress has been made in terms of legislation. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Gibson, “firstly, the US Congress failed to block the Iran nuclear deal reached in summer 2015. Secondly, the same deal has been approved by the Iranian parliament. The latest news is that on the 18th of October US authorities approved conditional sanctions waivers for Iran (known as Adoption Day). These waivers will only take effect after Iran complies with its commitments and this is verified by the IAEA (Implementation Day)”.
However, the question of how quickly will this happen, needs to be answered. According to Gibson, as per “several senior US officials, the Implementation Day is at the very least two months away; while most industry experts are of opinion that this is unlikely to happen before the first quarter of next year. If and when Iranian sanctions are lifted, it will have important implications for global oil markets. As it is, the world is awash with crude, following OPEC’s policy to defend its market share. At the same time, US crude oil production is not falling fast enough to balance supply and demand, despite prices remaining low. Finally, concerns are intensifying about the health of world economy, leading to lower expectations for global oil demand growth next year. In these circumstances, if Iran is able to rapidly increase its production and exports, this will only add more crude to an already heavily oversupplied market”.
The shipbroker added that “undoubtedly, this year the overhang of crude oil has fuelled tanker markets not only in terms of supporting trade, but also leading to additional storage requirements and loading/discharge delays. As such, any increase in Iranian exports will at the very least elevate these inefficiencies in tanker transportation, supporting tight supply/demand balance. However, there are also concerns about the Iranian fleet, which will become internationally operational and is likely to compete aggressively in the conventional tanker market when sanctions are lifted”.
According to Gibson, “as of now, 37 VLCCs, 9 Suezmaxes and 5 Aframaxes are under control of the National Iranian Tanker Company (NITC). However, about half of the fleet is already employed, largely shipping Iranian crude to a limited number of international buyers (although there is some scope here for efficiency gains, such as faster speeds and reduced waiting time). The rest of the NITC fleet is used for crude/condensate storage, with the latest count at 20 units under the NITC control and 5 by other owners. If the nuclear dispute is resolved, a number of VLCCs used for storage, will continue doing so for operational/marketing reasons as was the case prior to sanctions”.
The shipbroker also noted that “as such, essentially only those tankers which will be released from storage duties will be in position to provide an incremental boost to tanker supply. It could take some time for these ships to meet international standards in terms of class and insurance. Furthermore, many units are likely to require dry docking. On this basis, the process of “re-entry” will be gradual. Finally, if Iran succeeds in rapidly increasing its production and in significant volumes, this would provide additional demand for the NITC fleet, limiting further the threat of competition to the international tanker supply”, Gibson concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 15 October 15
Q1' 16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP ADVANCED 2 PER CENT WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q4' 2015 gain week over week and declined month over month.
The Q4 swap was dow ...
Tuesday, 13 October 15
DRY BULK SHIPPING FLEET NET EXPANSION WAS 1.3% DURING THIRD QUARTER, BUT ORDERBOOK REDUCED TO 17% OF THE TRADING FLEET
If the dry bulk market is to rebound on a sustainable level, it needs to limit the tonnage expansion, at least until demand picks up again, as Chin ...
Tuesday, 13 October 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP DECLINED 2 PER CENT MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q4’ 2015 delivery decreased $0.46 per ton (1.08%) month over month to US$ 42.17 per ton. The ...
Monday, 12 October 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS GAIN W-W; SLIGHTLY DOWN M-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down just US cents 3 (0.06 %) per ton month over month.
A commodity ...
Monday, 12 October 15
DRY BULK SHIPPING: MARKETS ARE SLOWLY IMPROVING FROM A VERY LOW LEVEL AS THE DEMAND SIDE FALTERS - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market is in the midst of a shift in demand patterns, which coupled with a tonnage supply overhang, has been facing headwinds over the ...
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- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
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