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Friday, 18 September 15
SHIPPING AND THE FED RATE DECISION: FINANCING COSTS COULD RISE EVEN HIGHER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 Regardless of the FED’s decision to raise rates, shipping stands to be influenced by the decision. Shipbroker Allied Shipbroking noted this week, that “the real direct impact which shipping might have to face from the FED’s decision to increase interest rates would be in terms of financing”.
According to Allied’s George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research and Asset Valuations, “with most loans being dollar denominated and the spreads on offer by banks already on the high end compared to what the industry has been offered over the past decade, it would likely make ship financing an even harder task for many to undertake. The lack in availability of finance has been a key characteristic of the market for well over 2-3 years now, and this would likely deteriorate things further. Nevertheless, such difficulties may prove to help in the long run, allowing for a tightening of new investments and especially in terms of further ordering. At the same time the higher financing cost will eventually be absorbed by freight rates as it will be a cost shared by the majority in the industry, while once the freight market finds its footing once more and starts to improve, this cost will start to play a more minor role once more. For the time being what one hopes for more is for a possible escape from the pessimism that has plagued the global markets over the past months, the possible negative side effects seem like small hurdles in comparison”, said Lazaridis.
Analyzing the current macroeconomic climate, Allied’s analyst said that “with the U.S. economy still managing to show fairly promising figures with regards to its trajectory, the Federal Reserve is inching closer to the decision to make its pivotal decision regarding an interest rate hike (something that could materialise as early as this week). Although, the fundamentals are a positive overall sign for shipping there are things to feed worries below the surface and on an indirect basis. The main focus and what helps support an optimistic view towards the current decision revolves around the fact that with the global economy lacking a strong source of economic growth, a positive outcome for the world’s largest economy can be taken as a very favourable move and one that could help drive the rest of the global growth engine as it once did in the past. With such a high consumer base and a strong source of indirect investment, its economy is highly placed to support growth elsewhere around the world”.
Lazaridis added that “yet as things are showing, neither is its current strong growth a given (with some shaky signs having been noted during end of spring early summer) nor is a decision to increase interest rates sure to spring further growth down the line. In regards to the latter, it will likely spur extra lending by banks which is going to drive both investment within the economy and allow for improved earnings from banks themselves. Yet it will also drive for an increase in the default rate of bad loans, as those who are already struggling to meet their debt obligations are likely going to find themselves sooner rather than later in default. This is the least of what this latest development could bring about, as the emerging economies will struggle to maintain the same amount of interest in attracting further investment, while their previous dollar denominated debt will become more expensive to pay off as the dollar strengthens against the borrowers’ local currencies”.
He went to say that “further to this end, corporate profits previously retained in many of these emerging economies by big multinationals will likely be repatriated back to the U.S. as local investment starts to become more favourable. Yet all this might end up as a more favourable outcome for shipping as an economy the size of the U.S. could allow once more for the export-led growth models than many of the emerging economies still focus on. As an example a fast pace increase in consumer spending in the U.S. could allow for increased exports out of both China and India which would in turn drive their economies into further production growth”, Lazaridis concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Sunday, 18 October 15
THE BDI AND OTHER INDICES CLOSED OFF ON NEGATIVE NOTE THIS FRIDAY
COALspot.com: The BDI closed off on negative note this Friday compared to previous Friday's closing.
The BDI closed this Friday (16 Octobe ...
Friday, 16 October 15
MAJOR REVISION OF NYPE TIME CHAPTER PARTY - BIMCO
Major revision of NYPE time charter party promises to be both balanced and comprehensive
BIMCO has today jointly issued the first revision of ...
Friday, 16 October 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q4'15 DELIVERY FLAT WEEK OVER WEEK; DOWN 5.5 PER CENT M-M
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q4 2015 declined month on month and flat week over week.
The Q4 swap declined $ 2.23 (-5.51%) ...
Friday, 16 October 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE UNITED STATES DECREASED THIS WEEK; DOWN 11.3 PER CENT Y-Y, DOWN 3.5 PERCENT W-W
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.1 million shor ...
Friday, 16 October 15
INDONESIA REJOINING OPEC DESPITE BEING A NET IMPORTER OF PETROLEUM - EIA
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) notified Indonesia that it plans to accept the country's request to reactivate its ...
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- The University of Queensland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
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