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Wednesday, 05 August 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 On July 14th, 2015 a historical consensus was reached in Vienna between Iran and the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council, plus Germany (P5+1), to eliminate Tehran’s nuclear program in return for lifting international oil and financial sanctions. The US-Iran deal is the most important breakthrough in their bilateral relationship since 1979, when the Iranian revolution disturbed their relations. In particular, Iran has agreed not to produce any plutonium enriched weapons and additional heavy water reactors for 15 years. The assurance that Iran is satisfying the deal’s commitments will be granted through an extensive UN inspection and observation under the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). It is discussed that assessments and transparency measures may remain in place for as long as 25 years. Expressly, President Obama stated that “this relief will be phased in. Iran must complete key nuclear steps before it begins to receive sanctions relief.”
The markets are already looking towards the challenges, options and prospects that will emerge with the deal being signed. Notably, oil prices fell due to investors’ expectations of an increase in oil exports from Iran to an already oversupplied market. It is estimated that Iran could supply an extra 200k-400k bpd of crude in 2016 on top of a release of 20-40 million barrels from floating storage. The NIOC Managing Director states that if there is enough demand, it is estimated that production could increase by 500k-600k bpd reaching its pre-sanctions level of 4 million bpd within 6 to 12 months. Furthermore, China’s economy is witnessing a growth slow down, while global oil production is close to record highs and thus traders weigh the risk of oil prices possibly falling further.
Furthermore, the agreement will gradually benefit companies that transport Iranian Oil. Once the EU ban on insuring tankers carrying Iranian crude is lifted, imports to countries such as India and Turkey will be comforted and will promote the purchase of contracted volumes. Iran has traditionally been India’s second-largest supplier of crude oil and the prospect of lifting sanctions will also facilitate Pakistan to complete the Iran-Pakistan pipeline. Moreover, it would again be legal for P&I insurance clubs and companies that cover shipowners for several risks to insure Iranian oil cargoes.
Likewise, it is estimated that lifting petrochemical sanctions will permit $1 billion in exports for Iran. The increase in Iranian supplies of oil and gas would trickle down to Europe’s chemical industry, creating a potential game changer for energy-intensive businesses. A traditional player is coming back into the market and preeminently needs to sell, therefore chemical plants of Europe will definitely benefit. Energy companies from Royal Dutch Shell to BP commented after the deal was signed that they were examining their options in a post-sanctions Iran, where production and export potential could expand with the appropriate investment strategies.
Decades of sanctions have inevitably affected the local population and Iranian political setup. With the prospect of sanctions being lifted, Iran’s economic potential will allow for numerous opportunities not only for Iran but also for the wider region, which will directly translate into an increased influence in the Middle East. More importantly, the deal will have some prompt and long-term influence both on global and regional level. The deal will bring out Iran from international isolation. Nevertheless, Iran will have to wait for almost a year to yield the financial returns of the deal, while the six major world powers will most probably reap the benefits of the lower cost of oil immediately.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 07 September 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS ROSE 1.1 PER CENT WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined just US$ 1.52 (3 %) per MT month over month.
A commodity sw ...
Sunday, 06 September 15
AUTOMATION AND TECHNOLOGY IS CERTAINLY PART OF THE SOLUTION FOR IMPROVING PERFORMANCE AND EFFICIENCY TO MAKE THE MINE OPERATIONS MORE PROFITABLE, HOWEVER............ - LUKE JALSEVAC
"The Technology and Innovation in Mining 2015" production team at Information Exchange Group interviewed Luke Jalsevac, Director, Busines ...
Sunday, 06 September 15
THE CAPE SIZE INDEX ROSE 10.83 PER CENT WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI, the Baltic exchange's main sea freight index, which tracks rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities, declined o ...
Saturday, 05 September 15
DRY BULK MARKET MAY SUFFER NOW, BUT IS BOUND FOR A RECOVERY THANKS TO A LIMITED FUTURE FLEET GROWTH - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The slow increase of dry bulk tonnage growth this year could turn into a solid indicator of the market’s future prospects. According to a rec ...
Friday, 04 September 15
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION FOR THE W/E AUGUST 29, UP SLIGHTLY; FALL 4.5 PERCENT Y-Y: EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 18.7 million shor ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Planning Commission, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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