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Friday, 24 July 15
THE IMPACT OF COLLAPSING CHINESE COAL IMPORTS - CLARKSONS
 Global seaborne coal trade is currently projected to drop 1% y-o-y in 2015, which would be the first annual decline in almost three decades. The driving force behind the slump has been a collapse in Chinese seaborne coal imports, which fell 40% y-o-y in the first five months of the year. This month’s Commodity Countdown explores the cause and implications of the drop in Chinese coal import demand.
Global seaborne coal trade is currently projected to drop 1% y-o-y in 2015, which would be the first annual decline in almost three decades. The driving force behind the slump has been a collapse in Chinese seaborne coal imports, which fell 40% y-o-y in the first five months of the year. This month’s Commodity Countdown explores the cause and implications of the drop in Chinese coal import demand.
The Hoover Losing Suction
China’s role in recent global coal trade has been to hoover up coal output and provide a seemingly bottomless source of demand to exporters around the world. Chinese imports accounted for a quarter of growth in seaborne coal trade in 2012 and 65% in 2013. However, as the graph shows, the country’s coal import demand has been in steady decline since the beginning of 2014 and with the acceleration of the downturn in the first half of 2015, China is likely to lose its leading position, while global seaborne coal trade is expected to record its first decline in decades.
The Prognosis
The majority of coal consumed in China is sourced domestically, meaning that even a small change in the country’s coal use can impact heavily on seaborne imports. With that in mind, Chinese coal fired power generation dropped 3% y-o-y in the first five months of 2015 on the back of the government’s measures to tackle air pollution. There have been a number of power plant closures in recent months, while Chinese importers became increasingly particular about their coal purchases, due to the introduction of a series of coal quality regulations. Correspondingly, Chinese thermal coal imports dropped 39% y-o-y in January to May to the lowest level for the period since 2011. Similarly, coking coal imports dropped 41% y-o-y in January to May, coinciding with the 1.3% y-o-y drop in steel production in 1H 2015. The drop has been largely attributed to easing infrastructure development and sluggish construction activity.
The Impact On Exporters
As China’s coal imports from seaborne suppliers have dropped across the board in the year to date, coal miners have been put under severe financial pressure. Indonesian miners have taken a particularly severe blow, with a large number forced to cut output. Total Indonesian coal production dropped 19% y-o-y in January to May, while shipments to China halved y-o-y. Elsewhere, while Australian miners are likely to benefit modestly from a free trade agreement signed in June, forecasts still indicate a difficult remainder of the year, following the 15% y-o-y drop in exports to China in January to May. Finally, while India is on course to become the leading seaborne coal importer in 2015, it is likely to fall considerably short of filling the demand gap left by China. As such, the impact of collapsing Chinese coal import demand on global coal trade is likely to be significant.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Saturday, 31 October 15
ADARO ENERGY'S CORE EARNINGS DECLINE 21 PER CENT FOR THE NINE MONTHS PERIOD TO SEPTEMBER 2015
COALspot.com: Adaro Energy's core earnings decline 21% to US$228 Million for first 9months of this year compared to the same period last year. ...
Friday, 30 October 15
INDONESIA'S COAL EXPORTS DROP ON LOW PRICES - THE JAKARTA POST
Indonesia's coal exports significantly dropped in the first nine months of the year as coal companies continued to suffer from low prices in ad ...
Friday, 30 October 15
CHINESE MINERAL IMPORTS: MOVING ON FROM INDONESIA? - CLARKSONS
China has accounted for almost 90% of global imports of nickel ore and bauxite in recent years and was therefore heavily hit by the Indonesian mine ...
Friday, 30 October 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE UNITED STATES INCREASED THIS WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.5 million shor ...
Thursday, 29 October 15
IRAN'S RETURN TO OIL MARKETS WILL HAVE TEMPERED IMPACT FOR THE TANKER SHIPPING INDUSTRY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
While many analysts appear to be fearful of a potential incremental rise in tanker ships’ supply, as a result of the imminent return of Iran ...
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The University of Queensland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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