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Wednesday, 13 May 15
MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
The EU governments in an effort to face their economic crisis individually are facing lack of political cohesion. This reflects back to each economy negatively while state leaders now have to deal with multiple issues. Economic instability has been around longer than initially expected by G8, causing various troubles to both poor and rich countries globally.
Shipping is still also clouded as world economic obscurity persists. The increasingly number of demolished overage vessels - compared to the previous year - along with the slowdown of new orders and the non-effective contracts so far, have still not managed to provide equilibrium in the market. The continuous low rates in dry sector seem to have exhausted the patience of private equity investors and all those who came in and invested aggressively the past years, aiming for quick profits. The less but although constant launches of NB units by shipbuilders combined with the fact that banks are unable to provide fair financing terms and amounts even for their good clients, adds more downward pressure on asset prices. Thus the opportune ground, for traditional and cash rich shipowners, is well maintained.
Panamaxes and Supramaxes have gained most interest followed by Handymax and lately by Handysize units. Potential candidates circulated officially or pushed privately in the market are gaining ample interest and many inspection requests. Contrary to the logical hypothesis that more buyers will increase competition and consequently prices, the offers are still ranged in extremely low levels and Sellers are usually glad to accept offers slightly lower or equal to the last dones. The still unsold M/V Front Runner ( abt 55kdwt blt 09 Mitsui, Japan) has been inspected by 8 parties. We are hearing that her owners, who aim at around USD15.0m, gathered five offers last Friday with the highest being in the region of USD14.0m. This offer is in line with the previous sale of the M/V Ultra Initiator (abt 56kdwt 2007 blt 07 Mitsui, Japan), which was sold for USD 12.7m at the end of February.
At the same time, it seems that Japanese Sellers have second thoughts. They appear quick to withdraw their vessels from the market when the offers received are not reflecting their initial price ideas. This phenomenon is rising in the very recent years and it is strange and totally opposite from the “usual” Japanese sale practices, in which they are usually described as “definite sellers”. This swift of 180 degrees in the Japanese sales mentality seems to have picked this year and has also consequently offered some very strong resistance to asset prices declining further. Some representative examples are the M/V Lowlands Queen (abt 76kdwt blt 08 Imabari), the M/V Lady Maria Louisa (abt 76kdwt blt 07 Imabari), the M/V Epson Trader (abt 82kdwt blt 07 Tsuneishi), the M/V Grace Future (abt 75kdwt blt 06 Universal), the M/V Sea of Future (abt 76kdwt blt 05 Tsuneishi) and the M/V Cymbeline (abt 73kdwt blt 01 Sumitomo), all of which were either fixed them on long T/C contracts or the selling of which was pushed to Q4 of 2015, as their respective owners hoping to achieve better prices then. If you count them, it is almost one withdrawn Panamax vessel per month.
As the end of the first half of the year approaching, we most certainly have to admit that we are a shade away from the bottom of this cycle if not already there. In fact we have been experiencing for quite some time a “Buyer’s Market”. The question we are often asked is “when” the market will start moving up and not if. What I answer is what my grandfather once told me; “do not put all your beans in the same bag”. In other words spread your acquisitions in time and not all at once.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis
SnP Broker, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 27 April 15
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION FELL BELOW ONE BILLION SHORT TONS IN 2013 - EIA
COALspot.com: For the first time in two decades, U.S. coal production fell below one billion short tons to 984.8 million short tons in 2013 from 1, ...
Monday, 27 April 15
Q3' 2015 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED 3.69% LOWER THAN Q2' 2015 PRICE OF $46.36
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery gained US$ 0.19 per MT (0.41%) month over month and US$ 0.78 week on week. ...
Monday, 27 April 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP SLOWLY IMPROVED THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.74 (-1.41%) per MT month over month and increased US$ 0.43 ...
Sunday, 26 April 15
DRY BULK MARKET KEPT IMPROVING THIS WEEK; CAPES AND PANAMAXES SHOW A SLIGHT PICKUP IN RATES
COALspot.com: The freight market was stable this week as BDI closed at 600 points after improving 0.50 percent week over week.
The cape ...
Friday, 24 April 15
CHINA IRON ORE MINE CLOSURES TO SLOW ON GOVERNMENT SUPPORT - FITCH
Fitch Ratings expects fewer Chinese iron ore mine closures in 2015 as the government takes steps to support the industry, which has been struggling ...
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
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