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Wednesday, 06 May 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS
 The first four months of 2015 are now behind us and they make up for a decent amount of time to look back and assess how the year is evolving so far and what could be possible ahead. January kicked off very quietly as far as SnP activity is concerned especially for dry bulk sale candidates, a big part of which remained for sale for quite some time or was withdrawn altogether from the market. In this environment, second hand prices remained under pressure for quite a while but not as long as some were actually waiting for.
As a matter of fact, as q1 came to an end we started seeing a rebound in activity with a number of prominent Greek owners once again inspecting modern Panamax/Kamsarmax/Supramax and it seems that we could now be at a turning point as far as dry bulk asset values are concerned.
A representative sale of this recent trend is the “TORM ISLAND” (82kdwt blt 10 Japan), which gathered a lot of interest and was eventually sold at levels in xs of USD 18.0m, which is around 7% higher than what her sister vessel “TORM TRADER” (82kdwt blt 10 Japan) managed to fetch about a month earlier. In addition the “TORM ISLAND” was rumored to be inspected by more than 10 owners, most of which were Greek who were sitting on the sidelines during the past couple of years and now seem to have turned their interest in modern tonnage that seems to be on a substantial discount.
Looking at the latest sales one could be reservedly optimistic that prices appear to be stabilizing, while the most recent sales are definitely not below the respective last dones, which is pretty much what we were seeing during the past six months. This is without a doubt a positive sign as the free fall of dry bulk asset prices had caused a mini panic all around, and while it is still uncertain how things will evolve it is currently proving a much needed breather to the market. At the same time we are noticing that as far as modern sale candidates are concerned, competition between Buyers seems strong, which is resulting in higher prices in the last two Kamsarmax sales that took place. Nonetheless if one compares these prices with Sellers ideas for similar tonnage in spring last year, it is evident why current prices appear attractive.
For example a 5-yr old Japanese Kamsarmax was sold at around USD 28.0m in April 2014, which is a hefty 55% higher than the levels for similar tonnage with SS/DD passed today. At the same time it is also interesting to see that the number of up to 10-yr old Supramax up to Panamax Japanese candidates on the market is exceptionally small which is resulting to even higher competition for these ships. Saying that, when it comes to Chinese tonnage, the last six sales that took place during the past month were indeed low, with a couple of representative examples being the “HUI AN HAI”(32kdwt blt 10 China) which was sold at USD 6.8m and the “NEW SAILING STAR” (32kdwt blt10 China) which was sold for even less at around USD 6.5m.
Given the pressure the freight market remains under, it seems that prices are showing some sort of resistance for now. The million dollar question remains whether this is the bottom or if there is more downside. But if one looks at recent sales together with Buyers’ behavior on the SnP side lately, these are both hinting that market belief is that a bottom has been reached or is about to be reached. The sales that will take place next will obviously clear up any doubt.
By George Iliopoulos
SnP Broker, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 12 October 15
DRY BULK SHIPPING: MARKETS ARE SLOWLY IMPROVING FROM A VERY LOW LEVEL AS THE DEMAND SIDE FALTERS - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market is in the midst of a shift in demand patterns, which coupled with a tonnage supply overhang, has been facing headwinds over the ...
Monday, 12 October 15
BDI WEIGHED DOWN BY CAPE
COALspot.com: The BDI (Baltic Dry Index) has come back down again this week. The BDI is a benchmark index used to assess the overall cost of moving ...
Sunday, 11 October 15
TANKER SHIPPING: MORE OPTIMISM IN SIGHT FOR TANKERS IN THE WINTER SEASON - BIMCO
Demand:
2015 has been the year of the tanker. The fundamental improvements with slow supply-side growth for some years coupled with low oil pri ...
Friday, 09 October 15
US WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT UP 1.2 PERCENT TO 17.7 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.7 million shor ...
Thursday, 08 October 15
CAPESIZE: MOST PEOPLE AGREE A SPIKE IN RATES WILL HAPPEN; WHEN, HOW LONG AND HOW SUBSTANTIAL? - FEARNLEYS
Cape
Depressives start of the fourth quarter, with c3 approaching USD 12 pmt and c5 presently in the mind 5's. According to Fearnleys ship br ...
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- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The University of Queensland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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