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Thursday, 30 April 15
IRON ORE EXPORTS: A DANGEROUS RACE? - CLARKSONS
 The surge in iron ore exports in recent years has resulted in a significant decrease in iron ore spot prices, which dipped to a ten year low of below $47/t in April 2015. While lower prices helped to boost iron ore trade in 2014, the extent of the current price depression has raised questions over the ability of some miners to continue production at a loss, which is likely to have an impact on trade.
Surge In Exports
Australian seaborne ore exports increased 24% y-o-y in 2014, reaching 719mt, as the major miners Rio Tinto, BHP and Fortescue ramped up production.
The flood of Australian iron ore caused spot prices to fall 49% in 2014; to reach $69/t by December – a far cry from the previous five year average of over $135/t. Prices went on to hit a ten year low of $46.8/t in early April, but have rebounded slightly since. Nevertheless, many analysts have significantly reduced average price forecasts for 2015, with some projecting a level as low as $45/t.
Financial Pressure
Most small ore mining companies have a breakeven price of over $65/t. As prices have dropped below this level, high-cost miners around the world have reduced production, resulting in falling exports from the USA, Iran, Indonesia and Malaysia in 2014. Smaller miners in Australia are also increasingly feeling the pinch. Atlas Iron (which produced 12mt in 2014) was reportedly making a loss of more than $10/t and has now suspended production. BC Iron, which has a reported breakeven point of over $60/t, has seen shares plummet in recent months despite a reprieve from the Western Australian government for due payments of royalties. Fortescue, the fourth largest miner in the world, reportedly plans to expand production in 2015, but has introduced measures to further cut costs. Even the mining companies with low breakeven points – BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto – have seen their profit margins reduced. However, both companies still plan to expand production in the short-term.
Trade Impact?
As Rio Tinto and BHP increase supply this year, iron ore prices are likely to remain under pressure. Higher cost miners in China and elsewhere may reduce output as a result. Some analysts have projected over half of China’s 1,500 iron ore mines to close this year, despite a recent tax cut. Cheaper, higher quality iron ore imports are likely to continue to displace some Chinese output, although some Chinese miners may weather the weak price climate due to close ties with steel mills. This should support further growth in Chinese imports and global trade this year. However, the loss of output from other high cost miners globally could offset some of this growth. The pressure also seems unlikely to disappear soon, given weaker Chinese steel demand and expected expansion of Brazilian ore exports as projects come online in 2016-17.
While the list of mining companies who can afford to stay in the race may shrink, the scale of scheduled output growth from the larger miners is still likely to drive trade growth this year. However, against the backdrop of a lower price environment, and the potential for reduced Chinese demand, longer-term prospects for iron ore trade are starting to appear more challenging than previously.
Source: Clarksons Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 27 April 15
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION FELL BELOW ONE BILLION SHORT TONS IN 2013 - EIA
COALspot.com: For the first time in two decades, U.S. coal production fell below one billion short tons to 984.8 million short tons in 2013 from 1, ...
Monday, 27 April 15
Q3' 2015 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED 3.69% LOWER THAN Q2' 2015 PRICE OF $46.36
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery gained US$ 0.19 per MT (0.41%) month over month and US$ 0.78 week on week. ...
Monday, 27 April 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP SLOWLY IMPROVED THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.74 (-1.41%) per MT month over month and increased US$ 0.43 ...
Sunday, 26 April 15
DRY BULK MARKET KEPT IMPROVING THIS WEEK; CAPES AND PANAMAXES SHOW A SLIGHT PICKUP IN RATES
COALspot.com: The freight market was stable this week as BDI closed at 600 points after improving 0.50 percent week over week.
The cape ...
Friday, 24 April 15
CHINA IRON ORE MINE CLOSURES TO SLOW ON GOVERNMENT SUPPORT - FITCH
Fitch Ratings expects fewer Chinese iron ore mine closures in 2015 as the government takes steps to support the industry, which has been struggling ...
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- The University of Queensland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
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