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Thursday, 30 April 15
IRON ORE EXPORTS: A DANGEROUS RACE? - CLARKSONS
 The surge in iron ore exports in recent years has resulted in a significant decrease in iron ore spot prices, which dipped to a ten year low of below $47/t in April 2015. While lower prices helped to boost iron ore trade in 2014, the extent of the current price depression has raised questions over the ability of some miners to continue production at a loss, which is likely to have an impact on trade.
Surge In Exports
Australian seaborne ore exports increased 24% y-o-y in 2014, reaching 719mt, as the major miners Rio Tinto, BHP and Fortescue ramped up production.
The flood of Australian iron ore caused spot prices to fall 49% in 2014; to reach $69/t by December – a far cry from the previous five year average of over $135/t. Prices went on to hit a ten year low of $46.8/t in early April, but have rebounded slightly since. Nevertheless, many analysts have significantly reduced average price forecasts for 2015, with some projecting a level as low as $45/t.
Financial Pressure
Most small ore mining companies have a breakeven price of over $65/t. As prices have dropped below this level, high-cost miners around the world have reduced production, resulting in falling exports from the USA, Iran, Indonesia and Malaysia in 2014. Smaller miners in Australia are also increasingly feeling the pinch. Atlas Iron (which produced 12mt in 2014) was reportedly making a loss of more than $10/t and has now suspended production. BC Iron, which has a reported breakeven point of over $60/t, has seen shares plummet in recent months despite a reprieve from the Western Australian government for due payments of royalties. Fortescue, the fourth largest miner in the world, reportedly plans to expand production in 2015, but has introduced measures to further cut costs. Even the mining companies with low breakeven points – BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto – have seen their profit margins reduced. However, both companies still plan to expand production in the short-term.
Trade Impact?
As Rio Tinto and BHP increase supply this year, iron ore prices are likely to remain under pressure. Higher cost miners in China and elsewhere may reduce output as a result. Some analysts have projected over half of China’s 1,500 iron ore mines to close this year, despite a recent tax cut. Cheaper, higher quality iron ore imports are likely to continue to displace some Chinese output, although some Chinese miners may weather the weak price climate due to close ties with steel mills. This should support further growth in Chinese imports and global trade this year. However, the loss of output from other high cost miners globally could offset some of this growth. The pressure also seems unlikely to disappear soon, given weaker Chinese steel demand and expected expansion of Brazilian ore exports as projects come online in 2016-17.
While the list of mining companies who can afford to stay in the race may shrink, the scale of scheduled output growth from the larger miners is still likely to drive trade growth this year. However, against the backdrop of a lower price environment, and the potential for reduced Chinese demand, longer-term prospects for iron ore trade are starting to appear more challenging than previously.
Source: Clarksons Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 08 May 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN U.S. UP 3.2% THIS PAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.4 million short ...
Wednesday, 06 May 15
COMBINATION OF HOLIDAYS AND A SHAKY MARKET PUT ADDITIONAL PRESSURE ON RATES
COALspot.com: The combination of holidays and a shaky market is always a recipe for additional pressure on rates and last week was no exception. Wi ...
Wednesday, 06 May 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS
The first four months of 2015 are now behind us and they make up for a decent amount of time to look back and assess how the year is evolving so fa ...
Tuesday, 05 May 15
MIFA BERSAUDARA UNIT OF ABM INVESTAMA STARTS OPERATING $200M COAL MINE IN ACEH
Reswara Minergi Hartama, a coal mining unit of coal miner ABM Investama known as known as Reswara, inaugurated a $200 million integrated coal minin ...
Tuesday, 05 May 15
FREIGHT DERIVATIVE VOLUMES REACHED TOTALED 14,154 CONTRACTS IN APRIL - SGX
COALspot.com: “Our unique suite of freight and bulk commodity products provides market participants with a wide range of trading strategies a ...
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- White Energy Company Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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