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Thursday, 30 April 15
IRON ORE EXPORTS: A DANGEROUS RACE? - CLARKSONS
 The surge in iron ore exports in recent years has resulted in a significant decrease in iron ore spot prices, which dipped to a ten year low of below $47/t in April 2015. While lower prices helped to boost iron ore trade in 2014, the extent of the current price depression has raised questions over the ability of some miners to continue production at a loss, which is likely to have an impact on trade.
Surge In Exports
Australian seaborne ore exports increased 24% y-o-y in 2014, reaching 719mt, as the major miners Rio Tinto, BHP and Fortescue ramped up production.
The flood of Australian iron ore caused spot prices to fall 49% in 2014; to reach $69/t by December – a far cry from the previous five year average of over $135/t. Prices went on to hit a ten year low of $46.8/t in early April, but have rebounded slightly since. Nevertheless, many analysts have significantly reduced average price forecasts for 2015, with some projecting a level as low as $45/t.
Financial Pressure
Most small ore mining companies have a breakeven price of over $65/t. As prices have dropped below this level, high-cost miners around the world have reduced production, resulting in falling exports from the USA, Iran, Indonesia and Malaysia in 2014. Smaller miners in Australia are also increasingly feeling the pinch. Atlas Iron (which produced 12mt in 2014) was reportedly making a loss of more than $10/t and has now suspended production. BC Iron, which has a reported breakeven point of over $60/t, has seen shares plummet in recent months despite a reprieve from the Western Australian government for due payments of royalties. Fortescue, the fourth largest miner in the world, reportedly plans to expand production in 2015, but has introduced measures to further cut costs. Even the mining companies with low breakeven points – BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto – have seen their profit margins reduced. However, both companies still plan to expand production in the short-term.
Trade Impact?
As Rio Tinto and BHP increase supply this year, iron ore prices are likely to remain under pressure. Higher cost miners in China and elsewhere may reduce output as a result. Some analysts have projected over half of China’s 1,500 iron ore mines to close this year, despite a recent tax cut. Cheaper, higher quality iron ore imports are likely to continue to displace some Chinese output, although some Chinese miners may weather the weak price climate due to close ties with steel mills. This should support further growth in Chinese imports and global trade this year. However, the loss of output from other high cost miners globally could offset some of this growth. The pressure also seems unlikely to disappear soon, given weaker Chinese steel demand and expected expansion of Brazilian ore exports as projects come online in 2016-17.
While the list of mining companies who can afford to stay in the race may shrink, the scale of scheduled output growth from the larger miners is still likely to drive trade growth this year. However, against the backdrop of a lower price environment, and the potential for reduced Chinese demand, longer-term prospects for iron ore trade are starting to appear more challenging than previously.
Source: Clarksons Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 29 May 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE U.S. ALMOST FLAT THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 16.1 million short ...
Friday, 29 May 15
SOUTH KOREAN STATE-OWNED UTILITY KOREA MIDLAND POWER INVITES BIDS FOR 780K MT OF COAL FOR H2' 15
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued an new tender to buy total 780K Metric Tons (MT) of HCV and LCV ...
Thursday, 28 May 15
TIMEBAR FOR DEMURRAGE CLAIMS - SKULD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
English law has traditionally had a strict approach to contractually agreed time bars between commercial parties as well ...
Wednesday, 27 May 15
MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
Earlier in the year I looked at how the market was reacting to the prolonged fall of the price of oil. Back then it was still unclear if the fallin ...
Tuesday, 26 May 15
HOW HAS THE DROP IN OIL PRICES AFFECTED OTHER COMMODITIES? - CLYDE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The effects of the dramatic drop in the price of both Ice March Brent, the international oil marker, and its US counterpa ...
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
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