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Wednesday, 22 April 15
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - STRATOS TINIAKOS
 The current environment we experience as a result of low crude oil prices is characterized by the increased demand for petroleum products in OECD countries (expected to surpass that of the developing countries by 2020), the increased output of refineries and consequently lower price of refined products.
As we have now entered Q2 and still enjoy some very good returns in the tanker market, we are looking back at the MR returns and how the MR fleet unfolds from 2012 to 2017. We see that an average of 126 vessels is delivered per year with a standard deviation of 32 vessels. The returns in the sector have increased due the factors mentioned above as well as the opening of more and more refineries around the world.
150 vessels, almost half of the orderbook, are due to be delivered throughout this year, while in 2016 and 2017 we expect 123 and 25 vessels respectively. Given the overwhelming slowdown in newbuilding activity over the past 9 months and based on the current economic projections we expect the slowdown in orders to persist for a bit longer.
In the meantime we see that the current environment do not support SnP activity, as Sellers push for more seeing their margins improve and buyers are still considering if the premium is worth at this stage.
The MR fleet up to 5 years old is expected to be around 647 vessels at the beginning of 2017. The main characteristic of the majority of the ships that were built post 2013, is that they are of eco design, which currently earns them a premium of around 10% in the t/c contracts compared to non-eco ships. According to our data the time charter fixtures concluded during the period 2012 up to now with a time horizon of 4 months up to 5 years, we observe that the majority concerns T/C contracts of over 1 year period.
The average 1 yr T/C rate for max 5yr old vessels is around 13,850 /day and it has been on an upward path since last year, while the trend for 2 yr T/C is also rising with an average rate of around usd 13,970/day. We also observe that starting 2013 and throughout 2015 rates have been increasing regardless of vessel age in both these period contracts, while 3-yr period contracts are currently being fixed at around usd16,000/ day for vessels up to ten years old, while the existence of the eco design in this case has made no difference in terms of premium.
The remaining of the year will be challenging for spot players as they will have to cope with the scheduled deliveries that will be added in the active service fleet, while in regards to new entrants – especially private equity funds – we could be seeing more aggressive movements in the form of acquisition of modern units on en-block basis. If this proves to be the case, it will also translate to more aggressiveness in fixing long term contracts as well. Obviously charterers will take advantage of the modernization of the fleet and we anticipate that they will hold back and focus on periods of 2-3 years on modern eco imo units at sub usd 16,000 levels.
Stratos Tiniakos
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 04 April 15
BORYEONG POWER OF KOMIPO TO BUY TOTALED 695K MT OF HIGH AND LCV COAL
COALspot.com - Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd. (KOMIPO) is inviting bids from coal producers, marketing companies, or traders to supply of 500000 Metr ...
Friday, 03 April 15
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION STAYS FLAT
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 18.3 million short ...
Friday, 03 April 15
TOBA BARA'S PANDU SJAHRIR ELECTED AS NEW CHAIRMAN OF THE INDONESIAN COAL MINING ASSOCIATION
COALspot.com: Pandu Sjahrir, the Vice President Director & CFO of the Jakarta-listed PT Toba Bara Sejahtra — a subsidiary of PT Toba Seja ...
Thursday, 02 April 15
GOVERNMENT MUST WORK WITH MINING, NOT AGAINST IT - PANDU SJAHRIR
The Coal Face: The coal price has hit its lowest point in recent memory
My father used to say to me that his children are his biggest inv ...
Thursday, 02 April 15
NEWBUILDING ORDERS FOR DRY BULK CARRIERS "DRY" UP
Newbuilding ordering activity remained subdued over the course of the past week, as ship owners are wary of adding further tonnage to an already pr ...
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The University of Queensland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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