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Thursday, 16 April 15
CAPESIZE: THE SUPPLY AND DEMAND SIDE ARE NOW SUFFERING HEAVILY - FEARNLEYS
FearnleysHandy
It seems to be some standoff between owners and charterers in both hemispheres this week. Owners are raising their rates while charterers are holding back for the lower levels, Fearnleys says in its this week’s report.

In the Atlantic the rates for TArv are unchanged since last week and still being fixed at around USD 6,800. With the increased grain activity we see the Fhaul rates climbing some and being concluded at around USD 8,900 to low 9k depending on specs and delivery. In the Pacific it also remains flat but owners are asking USD 8k for Indo/India coal cargoes while the charterers are still holding out for concluding below the 7k mark. The Aussie rounds are being fixed in the mid 7k range while the period market seeing next to non activity.

Panamax
According to Fearnleys, after a quiet and unexciting week we see some signs of improvement in rates. TA´s are up abt USD 1200 w-o-w much lead by the increased grain activity into Cont/Med. Vessels are being absorbed by increased volumes of grain cargoes, affecting the regular trades in the Atlantic. The ECSA/Feast grain market is back at around USD 12k+USD 200k or 7.000 + DOP India for regular panamaxes while the bigger kamsarmaxes achieve even better returns. USG/China is being concluded at around USD 10k DOP Cont/Gib. Commenting further on Panamax Fearnleys says, in the Pacific we see a flat and unexciting market where the rounds are still being concluded at an unexciting USD 4k + BB APS. The period market is slow but some fixtures have been concluded. A kamsarmax was reported at time of writing for 1 year TC with India delivery at USD 7,650.

Capesize
Unbelievably the Capesize market has managed to soften slightly since the middle of last week, but thankfully, there are signs of a firmer sentiment which is slowly translating into slightly improved numbers, noted Fearnleys. There has been relatively healthy volumes in the Pacific, and with owners opting not to ballast towards South Africa, the number of idle/spot units has been reduced. Having said that there is still a massive oversupply and this will likely quell any real market bull drive beyond Opex numbers. One the demand side there are a number of minor miners, who are struggling or have already halted operations, due to the low ore price, and the Majors will easily be able to pick up the slack if these volumes need to be moved at all. In general terms it is now both the supply and demand side that are now suffering heavily.


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