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Wednesday, 08 April 15
CHINA BURNS HALF OF THE WORLD'S COAL - CHRISTOPHER T. WHITTY
Intermodal Weekly Market Update
China is the world's largest consumer of coal, using more coal each year than the United States, the European Union, and Japan combined. Coal power has been the dominant source of energy used to fuel the rapid economic development of China in the past two decades, with significant impact on its physical environment and human population. China relies on coal power for approximately 70-80% of its energy, with 45% used for the industrial sector and the remainder used to generate electricity. Nevertheless, China has been slowly entering into a new era where clean-fuel policies and new regulations are being implemented.
China burns half of the world’s coal and has caused more than half of total CO2 growth globally for the past decade, and many believe that the reversal in coal use may represent a significant progress in slowing down climate change. According to the China Electricity Council, utilization rates at China’s thermal power plants fired by coal, natural gas and oil, are set to fall further this year. Beijing is aiming to raise the share of non-fossil fuels in primary energy use to 15% in 2020, up from 11.2%last year.
Lower coal use is already evident in China with power companies using a greater mix of hydro, nuclear and renewable options, especially wind. China’s coal imports fell 11% in 2014 compared to the previous year, the first annual decline in at least a decade. Lignite, thermal and metallurgical coal, hit a 43-month low of 16.78 million mt in January, falling 53.2% year on year – the seventh consecutive year-on-year decline and the biggest decline in the past 15 years.
The Australian and Indonesian coal exporters are obviously focusing on the world’s largest consumer of the fuel and they also have to deal with the quality checks under the new ash and Sulphur restrictions. As a result of this uncertainty, some are even holding back shipments to China.
Australian coal, which is considered the benchmark for Asia, slumped 30% last year and dropped below $60/tonne this month, the lowest level since May 2007. With both imports and prices of the commodity falling further and unless something changes dramatically in the future, it looks like coal will lose its position in the fossil fuel markets. As a result, freight rates for Panamaxes and Kamsarmaxes will most likely continue to be adversely affected.
Some say that the Indian market will still exhibit wide scale demand for the continued importing of coal at a large scale but, on the other hand, they will never push up prices. Indian power plants have their own limitations and they are not free to pass any rise in coal prices through to consumers. Still, in Indian East Coast ports coal stockpiles are rising up to record levels and the power plants are only buying as much as required from these huge reserves in major ports. Coal stocks at 16 main Indian ports were at 16.48 million metric tons as of March 20, whereas at the end of March last year, coal stocks were a mere 7.7 million metric tons.
From our side we can only hope that Asian countries and mainly China will continue to depend on coal at least for the next couple of years. It should take considerable time for China’s transition to more clean sources of energy to run its power plants. But on top of that we would also like to see the price of the commodity at sustainable levels that can support the industry and consequently demand for seaborne trade.
Christopher T. Whitty
Marketing Manager - Harbour Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 07 April 15
Q3 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 55.96 PMT; DOWN 8.40% M-M
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 declined month over month and week on week.
The Q2 swap has declined U ...
Monday, 06 April 15
INDONESIA'S HBA FIXED AT US$ 64.48 PMT FOR APRIL DELIVERY; DOWN 4.84% M-M
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal benchmark prices to US$ 64.48 per MT in Apr ...
Monday, 06 April 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP DECLINED 12% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 6.23 per MT (-12%) month over month and US$ 0.86 (-1.85%) week ...
Monday, 06 April 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FALL CONTINUES
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 5.96 (-10.37%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.98 (- ...
Sunday, 05 April 15
FREIGHT RATES UNDER PRESSURE WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The Indices fell on all segments and the market seemed to soften this week.
The BDI was almost lost 1.34% week over week and clo ...
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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