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Wednesday, 25 March 15
2014 : UK COAL IMPORTS DECLINED 17%; GERMANY COAL IMPORTS UP 6%
 Hard Coal Market 2014: Despite The Energy Turnaround, Hard Coal Imports To Germany Rise By More Than 6%, Although Hard Coal-Fired Power Generation Declines (Part 3). To click Part 1 and Part 2 to read previous articles.
Lower coal imports to the UK and France, higher imports to Spain and Germany – VDKi
The picture among the various member states of the European Union with respect to steam coal imports in comparison with 2013 was varied: imports to the United Kingdom declined to 32m tonnes (-17%) and imports to France fell to 9m tonnes (-30%), while Italy was able to hold its imports (16m tonnes) at the level of the previous year. In contrast, Spain (presumably 13m tonnes) and Germany (approximately 42m tonnes) imported 18% and 6% more hard coal, respectively, than in the year before.
The reasons for this development:
- The continued weakness of the economies in the EU, with the exception of Germany and Spain, where the economy is showing signs of recovery;
- Decrease in the full load utilization hours of coal-fired power plants owing to greater power generation from renewable energy sources;
- The low power wholesale prices; power plants can no longer be operated profitably and thus are not being used.
Hard coal-fired power generation was favoured by the continuing advantage of the so-called clean dark spread (costs for coal, freight and CO2 certificates) over the so-called clean spark spread (costs for gas, transport and CO2 certificates) in 2014 despite the price pressure on gas. This situation has supported coal-fired power generation and favoured the continued replacement of gas-fired power generation in Europe. Electric power was exported primarily to countries, which rely strongly on gas for power generation, like the United Kingdom and especially since coal-fired power generation has been made more expensive by UK legislation or The Netherlands or to countries which do not have adequate power plant capacities available, such as currently is the case in Bel-gium. The example of Belgium makes it clear how essential sufficient capacities on the power market are: Germany should take steps as soon as possible to ensure security of supply from hard coal-fired power generation capacities available at all times by creating a power market design in conformity with market requirements which does not dis-criminate against hard coal-fired power plants, requests the VDKi.
Power exports to other countries rise again by 3%
The export balance (export less import) in Germany increased to 35.5 TWh, a plus of 1.7 TWh over 2013. The exported power volume, which increased 3% in comparison to the previous year stems primarily from hard coal-fired power plants because nuclear power plants and lignite-fired power plants are operating in the base load range. While on this subject, the VDKi wants to clarify a misunderstanding which is often heard: There are claims that hard coal-fired power plants (must) export power at dumping prices because of the high feed-in of power from renewable sources in Germany when weather conditions are favourable. That is not correct. Hard coal-fired power plants are highly flexible. They are the “swing suppliers” in power generation, assuring the security in terms of electricity production decisively so far. They produce power for export only if and when the power wholesale market or a buyer offers a price which is higher than the marginal costs (especially fuel costs and costs for CO2 certificates) of the specific power plant. Power prices in neighbouring countries, especially in the UK, Belgium and The Netherlands, are frequently several Euros per MWh higher than on the German power wholesale market, featuring as it does prices influenced (contrary to market conditions) by the priority feed-in of renewable energies and variable costs of €0, which means that the import of German power by our foreign neighbours is profitable.
In total, however, the gross power generation in Germany in 2014 declined by 3% to 614 TWh, caused especially by the mild winter of 2014, according to the Federal Association of the Energy and Water Industry (BDEW). About 68% of this power, just as last year, comes from conventional energy sources. The share of hard coal in the energy mix in Germany amounted to just under 18% in 2014. All of this has happened against the backdrop of the growing share of renewable energies; their share of gross power generation for 2014 reached 27.8%.
Hard coal imports to Germany reach a historical high point at 56m tonnes
Estimates of the VDKi show that hard coal imports to Germany in 2014 developed as shown below:
- Total hard coal imports to Germany increased in the past year by about 3.3m tonnes (6.3%) to an historical high point of more than 56m tonnes. This is the highest level of hard coal imports to Germany since the establishment of the European Community for Coal and Steel in 1957.
- In comparison with 2013, imports of steam coal increased by about 5% to 41.9m tonnes while imports of coking coal rose by 15% to 11.7m tonnes for the iron and steel industry. Solely the import of coke declined by about 6% to 2.4m tonnes.
- Especially in Q3 and Q4 significant volumes of 7.8m and 10.5m tonnes of steam coal were imported to Germany:
The Arbeitsgemeinschaft Energiebilanzen (AGEB) estimates the consumption of hard coal in 2014 in comparison with the previous year as shown below:
- Hard coal consumption for power generation declined by 11.7% to 36.9m TCE (or about 43m tonnes regarding the calorific value of 6000 kcal).
- Hard coal consumption for the steel industry rose, especially during the first half of 2014, by 1.1% to 17.8m TCE (or about 20.7m tonnes) because of a slight improvement in the economic situation.
- Hard coal consumption for heating market declined by 6.3% to 1.5m TCE (or 1.75m tonnes) because of mild weather conditions.
Russia, South Africa, Canada, Australia and Poland increased their exports to Germany by between 1.5% and more than 100% (South Africa). Exports from the USA and Colombia to Germany fell by 7.8% to 11.1m tonnes and by 26.2% to 7.4m tonnes, respectively, in 2014. Russia was again the most important coal exporter, followed by the USA, in 2014. Owing to the current oversupply on the coal market and the privately organized mining operations in Russia, the VDKi does not consider this to be a problem with regard to supply security. Even if supplies from Russia were cut off completely tomorrow, this volume could be procured inherently (unlike natural gas) from other countries
The world market prices continued to slump (with only a few short interruptions in 2014), especially in Q4 2014 and at the beginning of 2015. The CIF ARA prices reached their lowest point for the moment in the middle of the year, posting a little over US$72 per tonne. After a minor recovery, prices started giving way again in September. At the end of December 2014, a tonne of hard coal CIF ARA cost only about US$71, and in January 2015, the price fell below US$60/tonne, a drop of 28% over January 2014
The steep drop in freight rates end of 2014/beginning of 2015 contributed to this development. An increasingly weaker euro in comparison with the US dollar led to price disadvantages in the euro zone. The average border-crossing price free German border (BAFA price) in Q4 2014 came to €73.41/TCE while the weighted average price for the year was €72.94/TCE
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Monday, 30 March 15
WORST IS OVER FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET, BUT THE PAIN WILL REMAIN FOR YEARS TO COME, SAYS BIMCO CHIEF ANALYST - HELLENIC SHIPPING
The current demise of the dry bulk market isn’t one to go away anytime soon. That doesn’t mean that it can’t improve, with all sh ...
Monday, 30 March 15
Q3' 15 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: DECLINED 8.7% M-M; 12.77% Y-TO-D
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 5.00 (-8.70%) per MT month over month and US$ 1.33 (-2 ...
Monday, 30 March 15
Q2' FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED 4.47% HIGHER THAN Q4' CLOSING PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 5.42 per MT (-10.43%) month over month and US$ 1.60 (-3.32%) w ...
Sunday, 29 March 15
INDO - INDIA: SUPRAMAX & PANAMAX FREIGHT MARKET STEADY
COALspot.com: The freight market was almost stable as all segments slightly up except Panamax sector.
The BDI was up by just 0.85% week over w ...
Saturday, 28 March 15
IS NORTHERN EUROPE THE NEW MINING ELDORADO?
The Europe Mining 2015 Summit, organised by Global Summits organizer IRN on 17-18 June in Amsterdam, The Netherlands, will gather senior level repr ...
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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- SMC Global Power, Philippines
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- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
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- The University of Queensland
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- VISA Power Limited - India
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
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- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
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- White Energy Company Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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