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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Tuesday, 20 January 15
INDONESIAN COAL OUTPUT SEEN RISING, DESPITE FALL IN ITS PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month on month and week over week, but Indonesian Coal Output Seen Rising. T ...
Tuesday, 20 January 15
NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY DECLINED 2.83% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 1.45 per MT (-2.83%) month over month and US$ 0.50 (-0.99%) we ...
Monday, 19 January 15
HBA FALL TO FRESH LOWS; COAL OVERSUPPLY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH PRICE DOWN
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal bench mark price this month to US$ 63.84. T ...
Monday, 19 January 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS REMAIN WEAK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 3.37 (-5.63%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.74 (-1.29%) ...
Monday, 19 January 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q4 DELIVERY CLOSED 4% LOWER THAN Q1 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has f ...
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- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The University of Queensland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
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