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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Tuesday, 27 January 15
Q1 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 47.87 FOR WEEK ENDING JAN. 23
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 gain week over week and declined month on month.
The Q1 swap has decline US$ 0.9 ...
Tuesday, 27 January 15
Q2 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP UP 4.5% W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.28 per MT (-0.54%) month over month and increased US$ 1.23 ( ...
Monday, 26 January 15
OVERSUPPLY, AMPLE STOCKPILES, AND LACKLUSTER UNDERLYING STEEL DEMAND KEPT COKING COAL PRICES LOW IN 2014
COALspot.com: Coking coal prices (FOB & CFR) fell 15% and 18% respectively during the year, amidst persistent oversupply, ample inventory and s ...
Monday, 26 January 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY Q2 COAL SWAP CLOSED LOWER THAN Q1 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and day on day.
The Q1 swap has fell ...
Monday, 26 January 15
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CONTINUE TO SLIDE M-O-M; ROSE W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.79 (-1.33%) per MT month over month and gained US$ 2.10&nb ...
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- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Planning Commission, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
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