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Thursday, 12 February 15
DRY BULK OWNERS SCRAP MORE VESSELS, AS MARKET REACHES HISTORICAL LOWS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has reached historical lows this week, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) now trading at levels below operating expense levels for most ship owners. In fact, with the FFA markets not showing any positive signs for a possible recovery in the near future, pessimism is still the “name of the game” in the dry bulk market. In its latest report, shipbroker Intermodal noted that “apart from from the existing tonnage surplus, for which we have talked a lot during the last years, anemic global growth and demand for dry bulk commodities have also pushed the BDI to its lowest historical point”.
Attempting to provide some insight as to what factors have contributed to this negative development, Intermodal’s SnP broker, Mr. Yannis Olziersky said that “the decline of coal trade due to low demand from China is causing a big “headache” to Capesize and Panamax owners. Imports to China have been significantly reduced, since the local government is trying to shift away its dependency to coal for electricity production, to other renewable sources of energy. Despite that other countries like India have increased coal imports but that has so far proved inadequate to substitute entirely the fall in Chinese imports. As a result, many Panamaxes and capers, which were engaged in coal trade, are shifting to iron ore trade where in terms of transferred volume we are witnessing a healthy trade growth despite the fact that rates here have also plummeted”.
At the same time, “iron ore exports to China from Australia and Brazil rose as stockpiles in Chinese ports had hit a 12-month low in the beginning of the year. Low iron ore price together with cheap transportation cost and Chinese New Year festivities around the corner is the reason behind the increased volumes of iron ore imports. This increase has helped the Capesize market to slightly pick up from its historical lower point ever recorded in January and witness improved rates, which nonetheless are still far from what could be described as decent”, Olziersky said.
The shipbroker’s analyst added that “headlines regarding the dry bulk market are mostly negative these days, however in this bearish market there are some news which could be interpreted as positive signs, something that market needs since this “crisis” is not only driven by its fundamental problems but also by sentiment. On one hand, iron ore imports could be soon increasing as demand from the Chinese steel industry is expected to rise on the back of the recently announced plan by the Chinese government to invest heavily (around USD1 trillion) in infrastructure projects as an attempt to support growth”.
According to Olziersky, another silver lining could be the fact that “activity in dry bulk demolition activity has increased the last month as a result of declining freight rates. As a matter of fact, in just one month’s time the number of Capesize vessels that was sold for scrap reached the number of Capesizes scrapped during the whole of 2014. Under this freight environment it is very likely that this trend will continue, helping the market alleviate some of the abundant tonnage. Finally, new building activity is declining because of both the current negative environment and also lack of finance to support these projects as a result of this environment. Also some contracted dry projects which have not commenced are now being swapped to wet projects allowing the substantial dry bulk order book to take a much needed breath”.
He concluded his analysis by noting that “a “perfect storm” is currently taking place in the Dry Bulk market. Overcapacity, anemic global growth, lack of demand for dry bulk cargoes and bearish sentiment amongst players, have all come together and pushed the market to its lowest point since 1986. But let’s not forget that during “perfect storms” there are always opportunities, as these are the exact points in a cycle when asset values hit attractive lows that makes investing suitable for asset play opportunities and fleet renewals, especially for those who have sat in the sideways all these years waiting for this exact “perfect storm””, he concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 24 February 15
IHS ENERGY COAL CONFERENCE OF THE AMERICAS
Attend the IHS Energy Coal Conference of the Americas 17-19 March in Cartagena, Colombia and learn about timely concerns in today's coal indust ...
Monday, 23 February 15
Q2' CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q2 ROSE 3.39% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 1.90 (+3.39%) per MT month over month and declined US$ 0.08  ...
Monday, 23 February 15
Q2' API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED $1 HIGHER THAN Q3
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 3.12 per MT (+6.44%) month over month and fall US$ 0.43 (-0.83%) w ...
Sunday, 22 February 15
THE BALTIC DRY INDEX LOST ALMOST 3.2% OR 17 POINTS WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index, one of the economic indicators that monitors the health of the world's economy by tracking the price of shi ...
Friday, 20 February 15
GOVT SET TO INCREASE COAL OUTPUT TARGET THIS YEAR - JAKARTA POST
The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry is planning to increase its coal output target this year as the government seeks to offset the ongoing de ...
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- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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