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Monday, 26 January 15
OVERSUPPLY, AMPLE STOCKPILES, AND LACKLUSTER UNDERLYING STEEL DEMAND KEPT COKING COAL PRICES LOW IN 2014
COALspot.com: Coking coal prices (FOB & CFR) fell 15% and 18% respectively during the year, amidst persistent oversupply, ample inventory and slower steel demand growth, says SGX Commodities 2014 Review.
According to SGX, spot prices remained depressed through 2014 as ‘take or pay’ continued to wreck havoc. Looking forward, deflationary pressures may hamper hopes of a near-term recovery, while policy changes have created further lingering uncertainties. Coking coal FOB & CFR prices declined 15.0% and 18.3% respectively during the first three months of the year, and remained relatively stable within a $10 per tonne range thereafter.
SGX’s commodities 2014 review further noted that, a combination of persistent oversupply, ample stockpiles within China, and lackluster underlying steel demand kept prices low through the year. In August 2014, SGX launched coking coal derivatives (FOB Australia & CFR China) in response to the increasing trend towards index-linked pricing across the industry.
A variety of factors have kept coking coal prices depressed for longer than many had previously forecast. Such factors include:
(i) a drive by major producers to lower unit costs by improving production efficiencies and increasing production (thereby also increasing market share);
(ii) ‘take or pay ’ rail commitments in Australia, often making it more economical to continue producing at a loss than to cease production (NB. Australia accounts for more than half of seaborne supply); and
(iii) cost deflation in the domestic Chinese coal industry.
Looking forward, SGX’s Commodities 2014 Review report says that, while many analysts have been calling a bottom in the coking coal price, the timing of any meaningful recovery remains far from clear. Supply cuts are indeed emerging. However, deflationary pressures such as falling resource currencies and a slump in oil prices may hinder the prospect of any significant recovery in the near-term. With a relatively flat cost curve, FX may also be an important variable.
Furthermore, there is uncertainty over the likely medium-term impact of the reduction in China’ s export tax on coking coal from 10% to 3% (effective 1 Jan 2015); Japanese and Korean mills used to procure coking coal from China and, while relative costs will be a factor, there may be a strategic argument to diversifying supply, SGX concluded.
SGX also launched coking coal derivatives in August 2014 in response to the increasing trend towards spot and index-linked pricing.
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Friday, 26 December 14
SHIPS FACE LOWER SULPHUR FUEL REQUIREMENTS IN EMISSION CONTROL AREAS FROM 1 JANUARY 2015 - IMO
Ships trading in designated emission control areas will have to use on board fuel oil with a sulphur content of no more than 0.10% from 1 January 2 ...
Wednesday, 24 December 14
CAPE DEMAND WAS STILL EXTREMELY SOFT THIS PAST WEEK ACROSS BOTH BASINS - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The performance of the Dry Bulk market, which found itself in desperate search of support for yet another week, has left very little ...
Wednesday, 24 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - JOHN N. COTZIAS, INTERMODAL SNP BROKER
The year is coming to an end, and we should be able to assess if this was a good year, a bad year, or even a lousy one? The answer clearly de ...
Tuesday, 23 December 14
Q1'15 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP GAINED 48 CENTS IN ONE WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month and gained week over week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lo ...
Tuesday, 23 December 14
Q4'15 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS FALL $ 3.85 IN A MONTH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 2.13 (-3.17%) month on month ...
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Coal Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
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