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Monday, 26 January 15
OVERSUPPLY, AMPLE STOCKPILES, AND LACKLUSTER UNDERLYING STEEL DEMAND KEPT COKING COAL PRICES LOW IN 2014
COALspot.com: Coking coal prices (FOB & CFR) fell 15% and 18% respectively during the year, amidst persistent oversupply, ample inventory and slower steel demand growth, says SGX Commodities 2014 Review.
According to SGX, spot prices remained depressed through 2014 as ‘take or pay’ continued to wreck havoc. Looking forward, deflationary pressures may hamper hopes of a near-term recovery, while policy changes have created further lingering uncertainties. Coking coal FOB & CFR prices declined 15.0% and 18.3% respectively during the first three months of the year, and remained relatively stable within a $10 per tonne range thereafter.
SGX’s commodities 2014 review further noted that, a combination of persistent oversupply, ample stockpiles within China, and lackluster underlying steel demand kept prices low through the year. In August 2014, SGX launched coking coal derivatives (FOB Australia & CFR China) in response to the increasing trend towards index-linked pricing across the industry.
A variety of factors have kept coking coal prices depressed for longer than many had previously forecast. Such factors include:
(i) a drive by major producers to lower unit costs by improving production efficiencies and increasing production (thereby also increasing market share);
(ii) ‘take or pay ’ rail commitments in Australia, often making it more economical to continue producing at a loss than to cease production (NB. Australia accounts for more than half of seaborne supply); and
(iii) cost deflation in the domestic Chinese coal industry.
Looking forward, SGX’s Commodities 2014 Review report says that, while many analysts have been calling a bottom in the coking coal price, the timing of any meaningful recovery remains far from clear. Supply cuts are indeed emerging. However, deflationary pressures such as falling resource currencies and a slump in oil prices may hinder the prospect of any significant recovery in the near-term. With a relatively flat cost curve, FX may also be an important variable.
Furthermore, there is uncertainty over the likely medium-term impact of the reduction in China’ s export tax on coking coal from 10% to 3% (effective 1 Jan 2015); Japanese and Korean mills used to procure coking coal from China and, while relative costs will be a factor, there may be a strategic argument to diversifying supply, SGX concluded.
SGX also launched coking coal derivatives in August 2014 in response to the increasing trend towards spot and index-linked pricing.
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Friday, 30 January 15
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION REACHED 65.7 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 30 January 15
CAN BULKER CONVERSIONS SPOIL THE TANKER MARKET'S PARTY? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Oversupply of tonnage has always been in the back of the head of ship owners when it comes to taking advantage of favorable market conditions. As s ...
Thursday, 29 January 15
CHINA ENERGY DEMAND MUST BE REVIEWED DUE TO FUNDAMENTAL ECONOMIC CHANGES - WOOD MACKENZIE
New patterns emerging as energy demand growth decoupled significantly from GDP growth for the first time in 2014
Wood Mackenzie says 2014 was ...
Thursday, 29 January 15
CAPE MARKET IS STILL STRUGGLING WITH LOW DEMAND AND LOW COMMODITY PRICES
Handy
Supramax rates are heading south with slipping rates all across the block. USG activity is slow with mid-week levels in the mid 8.000s, Fea ...
Wednesday, 28 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - STELIOS KOLLINTZAS
With most traders having returned to action from year end festivities, we have already seen signs of activity in the specialized product markets. L ...
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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