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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 12 November 14
PANAMAX: WITNESSED A FAIRLY STABLE MARKET IN THE ATLANTIC
COALspot.com: Despite the fact that the Dry Bulk market noted another weekly increase, clouds of uncertainty returned mid-week onwards, as the mini ...
Wednesday, 12 November 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER T. WHITTY
COALspot.com: The fight continues between the low-cost iron ore producers and the big three: Vale, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton. We are moving into a ...
Tuesday, 11 November 14
FACING CHALLENGES AND MEETING OPPORTUNITIES - INTERNATIONAL EPC CONFERENCE & EXHIBITION
Press Release: SKYCONNECTION and TRANSEVENT, which is fully supported by the Institution of Engineers Indonesia and Ministry of Industry of the Rep ...
Tuesday, 11 November 14
NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 52.65 FOR Q1' 15 DELIVERY
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery decreased US$ 2.83 (-5.10%) month over month and US$ 1.35 (-2.50%) week ove ...
Tuesday, 11 November 14
PORT OF NEWCASTLE'S OCTOBER COAL SHIPMENTS SLIPPED 7.40% M-O-M
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port, has shipped $1,115.7 mil ...
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- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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