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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 20 November 14
HANDY: INDO ROUNDS ARE BEING FIXED IN REGION OF US$ 10K - FEARNLEYS
Handy
In the Atlantic we have experienced firmer rates this week much lead by the grain activity out of USG. Vsls open in the USG can achieve in ...
Thursday, 20 November 14
DEMAND FOR DRY BULK CARRIERS INCREASES ON THE BACK OF HEIGHTENED FREIGHT RATE MARKET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Ship owners are looking to take advantage of favorable market conditions through the acquisition of more dry bulk carriers. According to shipbroker ...
Wednesday, 19 November 14
INDONESIA FUEL-PRICE RISE A CLEAR, POSITIVE REFORM SIGNAL - FITCH
COALspot.com: Indonesia's hike of more than 30% in administered fuel prices, announced on 17 November, provides a clear, positive signal of the ...
Wednesday, 19 November 14
CAPES WERE UNDER PRESSURE; LOST 20% WITHIN A WEEK
COALspot.com: " The negative environment in which the week prior ended, marked this past week as well, which closed off on Friday noting the f ...
Wednesday, 19 November 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - BY KATERINA RESTIS
The current Ebola outbreak in West Africa has been declared as a worldwide health emergency by the World Health Organization and has had a great im ...
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- White Energy Company Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The University of Queensland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
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