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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 03 December 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
The dry bulk market seems unable to turn sentiment round and is still looking for direction. The BCI's 887-point free fall last week had an obv ...
Wednesday, 03 December 14
CAPESIZE DRY BULK CARRIERS ENTER 2015 WITH MIXED FORTUNES, WITH A POSITIVE AND A NEGATIVE SCENARIO BOTH EMERGING - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The future of the Capesize dry bulk market appears to be engulfed from mixed “feelings” among analysts and market participants, despite ...
Tuesday, 02 December 14
KEY PLAYERS SHED NEW PERSPECTIVES ON COAL MARKETS
Press Release: Singapore’s ONLY and longest established Coal Trade event. Whilst Coal prices remain challenging, there is widespread consensu ...
Tuesday, 02 December 14
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 585,000 METRIC TONS OF COAL FOR Q1'15
COALspot.com - Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd. (KOMIPO) is inviting bids for the supply of 585,000 Metric Tons of coal. According to invitation, 5700 ...
Tuesday, 02 December 14
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION FELL 1.4% WEEK ON WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.6 million short tons (mmst) o ...
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The University of Queensland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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