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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 11 March 15
RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS DROP $ 3.65 - 4.0/T W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 declined month over month and week on week.
The Q2 swap has fell US$ ...
Wednesday, 11 March 15
DRY BULK MARKET CLOSED OFF ON THE GREEN FOR A SECOND WEEK IN A ROW - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market closed off on the green for a second week in a row, while the performance of Capesizes hindered a more substantia ...
Wednesday, 11 March 15
MARKET INSIGHT : NEWBUILDINGS - PANOS TSILINGIRIS
From a cost-based, buy-low perspective, there is currently a buying opportunity in the second-hand dry bulk market. I am an anti-cyclical (buy-low) ...
Wednesday, 11 March 15
DRY BULK MARKET: ALL IS NOT LOST FOR A RECOVERY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The low cost of commodities across the board could trigger an increase of trade among many countries, which in turn could lead to a recovery of the ...
Wednesday, 11 March 15
U.S. ELECTRIC GENERATING COMPANIES TO ADD MORE THAN 20 GW OF GENERATING CAPACITY IN 2015; 16 GW OF GENERATING CAPACITY IS EXPECTED TO RETIRE IN 2015
COALspot.com: In 2015, electric generating companies in U.S. expect to add more than 20 gigawatts (GW) of utility-scale generating capacity to the ...
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Coal Association
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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