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Monday, 19 January 15
HBA FALL TO FRESH LOWS; COAL OVERSUPPLY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH PRICE DOWN
 COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal bench mark price this month to US$ 63.84. The January price reference for Indonesian coal fell US$ 0.81 or 1.25% month over month. The declared Indonesian Coal Price Reference for this month was the lowest since May 2009.
January 2015 HBA has dropped to an 67-month low with the government declared HBA falling to US$ 64.65 a ton. Indonesian some small scale coal miners axe jobs and suspend mine operations as falling prices and reduced demand. The highest HBA was declared in February 2011 at US$ 127.05 per MT, which was US$ 63.84 per MT higher than this month’s declared HBA.
The excess coal output compared to a low demand is a significant contributing factor for coal prices fall for last few year. World’s recent oil price decline may also further push down the current coal prices to more deeper or pause the recovery of coal prices.
Indonesian coal benchmark price for January 2015 was calculated based on calorific value of 6,322 kcal/kg (GAR), stated to be using formula based on the December 2014 index average of ICI-1 (Indonesia Coal Index) 25%, Platts-5900 25%, NEX (Newcastle Export Index) 25%, and GC (globalCoal Index) 25%.
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Coal price reference was calculated considering coal with GCV (GAR) 6,322 kcal/kg, Total Moisture (arb) 8.00%, Total Sulphur 0.8% (arb), Ash Content 15 % (arb) and delivery free on Board (FOB) Vessel basis and applicable for spot contract, delivery between 1 – 31 January 2015.
The government of Indonesia is publishing a monthly coal price reference (HBA & HPB) since January 2009 to be used by coal producers for all spot and term contracts. However, the official implementation of HBA was commenced since September 2011. According to government regulation, the coal benchmark price must be used by the holders of production operation IUPs, special production operation IUP's, and CCoWs as a reference in determining the coal selling price for particular period.
The declared HBA of January 2015 was 22.05 per cent or $18.06 lower compared to the same period in year 2014. In the meantime, January 2015 HBA was US$ 63.21or 49.75% lower compared to all time high HBA which was declared in month of February 2011.
February 2011 declared HBA was the highest since the launching of HBA by government of Indonesia (US$ 127.05 / MT) and lowest was declared in May 2009 (US$ 62.83/ MT).
The January price was only valid for the spot price (loading on or before 31 January 2015), while as for term price (up to 12 months supplies), the average reference price (HPB) of the previous three months will be used to determine the selling price. (50 percent of the latest available month HPB, 30 per cent of one month prior HPB and 20 percent of two-month prior HPB).
Government also declared price marker for eight brands of Indonesia's coal, which are most commonly traded in the market. Those eight brands are acted as the benchmark and used to calculate other 66 coal types with a quality similar to the coal price markers.
For sales in the barge, the reference price is reduced by barging and trans-shipment costs from barge to vessel. Government has recently issued a regulation (644.K/30/DJB/2013 dated 21 March 2013) to regulate or determine coal prices on FOB barge. Government also fixed the freight for barging, surveyor, insurance and etc., to determine FOB barge price. Trans-shipment cost US$ 4.00/MT + Surveyor cost US$ 0.25/MT + Insurance 0.80% per shipment + Barging cost (for < 270 footer - (US$ 0.0221 X barging distance) + US$ 3.7406, for 270 - 330 footer - (US$ 0.0184 X barging distance) + US$ 3.1172 and > 330 footer - (US$ 0.0154 X barging distance) + US$ 2.6002.
The coal price reference is been established to fulfill the requirement of mining law 04/2009 and ministerial decree No.17/2010. In addition to that, it is aims to increase government revenue from royalties from coal producers.
The coal prices are now trying to settle at new level and it may not possible to see the price levels of year 2008 or 2012 once again in near future. The falling oil prices are now join hands with the excess coal supplies , weak demand to delay the recovery of coal prices from this level to higher level in coming months. It would be nice to see coal prices settle at a point where both the producer and consumer can sustain.
Click here for full details of Indonesian coal price reference since January 2009.(cs).
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Monday, 05 January 15
FIVE ENERGY SURPRISES FOR 2015: THE POSSIBLE AND THE IMPROBABLE - KURT COBB
The coming year is likely to be as full of surprises in the field of energy as 2014 was. We just don't know which surprises! I am not predictin ...
Monday, 05 January 15
THE SHIPPING MARKET IN 2014 AND LOOKING FORWARD - BIMCO
2014 started with plenty of optimism for a considerably better global economy and an improved shipping market. Things turned out somewhat different ...
Monday, 05 January 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1'15 DELIVERY CLOSED US$ 0.45 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q2'15 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 0.60 per MT (-1.15%) month over month and gained US$ 0.02 (+0.04%) ...
Sunday, 04 January 15
BALTIC DRY INDEX CONTINUES ITS DECLINE IN 2015
Wish you all a very Happy New Year 2015. The last report was dated 19th Dec 2014 and due to Christmas and new year holidays no reports were publish ...
Saturday, 03 January 15
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION FELL 11.2% TO 17.6 MMST WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.6 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
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