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Monday, 19 January 15
HBA FALL TO FRESH LOWS; COAL OVERSUPPLY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH PRICE DOWN
 COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal bench mark price this month to US$ 63.84. The January price reference for Indonesian coal fell US$ 0.81 or 1.25% month over month. The declared Indonesian Coal Price Reference for this month was the lowest since May 2009.
January 2015 HBA has dropped to an 67-month low with the government declared HBA falling to US$ 64.65 a ton. Indonesian some small scale coal miners axe jobs and suspend mine operations as falling prices and reduced demand. The highest HBA was declared in February 2011 at US$ 127.05 per MT, which was US$ 63.84 per MT higher than this month’s declared HBA.
The excess coal output compared to a low demand is a significant contributing factor for coal prices fall for last few year. World’s recent oil price decline may also further push down the current coal prices to more deeper or pause the recovery of coal prices.
Indonesian coal benchmark price for January 2015 was calculated based on calorific value of 6,322 kcal/kg (GAR), stated to be using formula based on the December 2014 index average of ICI-1 (Indonesia Coal Index) 25%, Platts-5900 25%, NEX (Newcastle Export Index) 25%, and GC (globalCoal Index) 25%.
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Coal price reference was calculated considering coal with GCV (GAR) 6,322 kcal/kg, Total Moisture (arb) 8.00%, Total Sulphur 0.8% (arb), Ash Content 15 % (arb) and delivery free on Board (FOB) Vessel basis and applicable for spot contract, delivery between 1 – 31 January 2015.
The government of Indonesia is publishing a monthly coal price reference (HBA & HPB) since January 2009 to be used by coal producers for all spot and term contracts. However, the official implementation of HBA was commenced since September 2011. According to government regulation, the coal benchmark price must be used by the holders of production operation IUPs, special production operation IUP's, and CCoWs as a reference in determining the coal selling price for particular period.
The declared HBA of January 2015 was 22.05 per cent or $18.06 lower compared to the same period in year 2014. In the meantime, January 2015 HBA was US$ 63.21or 49.75% lower compared to all time high HBA which was declared in month of February 2011.
February 2011 declared HBA was the highest since the launching of HBA by government of Indonesia (US$ 127.05 / MT) and lowest was declared in May 2009 (US$ 62.83/ MT).
The January price was only valid for the spot price (loading on or before 31 January 2015), while as for term price (up to 12 months supplies), the average reference price (HPB) of the previous three months will be used to determine the selling price. (50 percent of the latest available month HPB, 30 per cent of one month prior HPB and 20 percent of two-month prior HPB).
Government also declared price marker for eight brands of Indonesia's coal, which are most commonly traded in the market. Those eight brands are acted as the benchmark and used to calculate other 66 coal types with a quality similar to the coal price markers.
For sales in the barge, the reference price is reduced by barging and trans-shipment costs from barge to vessel. Government has recently issued a regulation (644.K/30/DJB/2013 dated 21 March 2013) to regulate or determine coal prices on FOB barge. Government also fixed the freight for barging, surveyor, insurance and etc., to determine FOB barge price. Trans-shipment cost US$ 4.00/MT + Surveyor cost US$ 0.25/MT + Insurance 0.80% per shipment + Barging cost (for < 270 footer - (US$ 0.0221 X barging distance) + US$ 3.7406, for 270 - 330 footer - (US$ 0.0184 X barging distance) + US$ 3.1172 and > 330 footer - (US$ 0.0154 X barging distance) + US$ 2.6002.
The coal price reference is been established to fulfill the requirement of mining law 04/2009 and ministerial decree No.17/2010. In addition to that, it is aims to increase government revenue from royalties from coal producers.
The coal prices are now trying to settle at new level and it may not possible to see the price levels of year 2008 or 2012 once again in near future. The falling oil prices are now join hands with the excess coal supplies , weak demand to delay the recovery of coal prices from this level to higher level in coming months. It would be nice to see coal prices settle at a point where both the producer and consumer can sustain.
Click here for full details of Indonesian coal price reference since January 2009.(cs).
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Tuesday, 20 January 15
INDIA TO SURPASS THE UNITED STATES AND BECOME THE SECOND-LARGEST COAL CONSUMER IN THE WORLD BY 2019 - IMF
COALspot.com: In 2013, coal added more primary energy than any other fuel and was the fastest-growing fossil fuel, enhancing its position as the se ...
Tuesday, 20 January 15
INDONESIAN COAL OUTPUT SEEN RISING, DESPITE FALL IN ITS PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month on month and week over week, but Indonesian Coal Output Seen Rising. T ...
Tuesday, 20 January 15
NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY DECLINED 2.83% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 1.45 per MT (-2.83%) month over month and US$ 0.50 (-0.99%) we ...
Monday, 19 January 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS REMAIN WEAK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 3.37 (-5.63%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.74 (-1.29%) ...
Monday, 19 January 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q4 DELIVERY CLOSED 4% LOWER THAN Q1 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has f ...
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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