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Wednesday, 14 January 15
COMMODITIES AREN'T PRIMED FOR A REBOUND DURING 2015: SHIPPING COULD BENEFIT FROM LOWER PRICES - ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In the recent past, higher commodity prices were driven by an increase in demand from developing countries, which spelled good news for ship owners, are the vast majority of this demand was serviced via seaborne cargoes. However, as the commodity market was plagued by speculators and many relative trades, more often than not, higher prices didn’t necessarily translate to higher demand for cargoes. As such, the latest downward trend among major commodities, isn’t all that bad for members of the shipping community, as they could ignite an increased demand from a series of nations.
In any case, as Allied Shipbroking’s latest report indicated, “we are set for another difficult year for commodities. Faced with strong pressure from a continually increasing US Dollar, a marginal increase in demand and an excessive oversupply glut, it will be hard to note a complete reversal within the next 12 months. Much of the drive in the commodity prices has been the great economic performance of several emerging economies with most notable of these being China. Things have changed however, as China has already seen its growth levels slowdown considerably over the past months and many economic analysts expect an even further slowdown within this year”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “at the same time a number of other high performing BRICS have sud-denly found themselves facing considerable economic problems. Russia is one of the obvious ones which has been greatly publicized in the international press. Nevertheless, it is some of the economies hidden in the back pages of economic news journals that hide further troubles ahead. Brazil has seen a reversal of its previous stellar per-formance showing considerable unrest and further cuts in its growth outlook, while many are worried over raised forecasts of inflation. This leaves us with only India and South Africa as potential champions amongst emerging economies which could take up the driver’s seat and push for further global trade growth. India has already started to show signs of ramping up its consumption of several key commodities and while it’s a major producer for several of these commodities as well, we might see a reversal as it starts to become a major importer picking up importance from its growing industrial production. Worth pointing out is the add bonuses it could bring to seaborne trade through higher tonne-mile demand as it will push most of Asia to source its commodities from further away locations. Nevertheless we are still far away from seeing anywhere near the level of importance taken up by China, nor is it yet in the position to cover fully any waning demand growth by China”, Lazaridis pointed.
He added though that “yet, as things stand now, attention has started to shift back to the more developed economies. Europe has a lot of issues still to deal with and after the most recent economic figures coming from The Old Continent, it looks as though we could be set for even further trouble during the first quarter. There is however one economy both big enough to drive a rebound in the global economy. Much will be bet this year on the U.S. recovery and as things continue to improve, so will its appetite for trade. As it drives for further consumption of finished goods sourced from mostly from the emerging economies such as China and India, its demand could be catalytic in pushing these economies back into drive. At the same time, even Europe could start to benefit from the U.S. recovery cause as it gains traction and the Euro continues to weaken against the Dollar so will the cost of Europe’s exports to the U.S. making them more competitive. Looking more long-term therefore, we might finally be in sight of the turning point towards better market conditions. An improved U.S. economy might be perfectly timed with lower commodity prices slowly amplifying demand while creating a steady base for consumption of goods worldwide. This should be in practice more balanced and rigid growth, nevertheless it will be a slow process and we are unlikely to see a complete reversal especially as political turmoil continues to shake things about”, Lazaridis concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 30 January 15
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION REACHED 65.7 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 30 January 15
CAN BULKER CONVERSIONS SPOIL THE TANKER MARKET'S PARTY? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Oversupply of tonnage has always been in the back of the head of ship owners when it comes to taking advantage of favorable market conditions. As s ...
Thursday, 29 January 15
CHINA ENERGY DEMAND MUST BE REVIEWED DUE TO FUNDAMENTAL ECONOMIC CHANGES - WOOD MACKENZIE
New patterns emerging as energy demand growth decoupled significantly from GDP growth for the first time in 2014
Wood Mackenzie says 2014 was ...
Thursday, 29 January 15
CAPE MARKET IS STILL STRUGGLING WITH LOW DEMAND AND LOW COMMODITY PRICES
Handy
Supramax rates are heading south with slipping rates all across the block. USG activity is slow with mid-week levels in the mid 8.000s, Fea ...
Wednesday, 28 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - STELIOS KOLLINTZAS
With most traders having returned to action from year end festivities, we have already seen signs of activity in the specialized product markets. L ...
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- White Energy Company Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
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