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Monday, 12 January 15
FREIGHT MARKET: 2015 FLEET SUPPLY GROWTH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF CARGO GROWTH - SGX
 COALspot.com: The dry bulk freight market was forced to digest a number of negatives in 2014 leading the Baltic Dry Index to fall 66% through the year, SGX says in its “ Commodities 2014 - A year of the bear” report.
According to SGX, the Capesize market was the most volatile, with average 30-day annualized volatility of 83%. While seaborne iron ore demand was strong, the market was hampered by weaker coal trade, negative macro news, tighter credit in China, and lower Indonesian exports among other factors. Looking forward, a continued high order book (relative to historical standards) paints a relatively cautious picture for the year ahead.
Hopes of a freight rate recovery were shattered with 2014 producing the second worst year in the past decade for vessel earnings, SGX noted.
The Baltic Dry Index (‘BDI’) fell 66% to end the year at 782. Across vessel types, Capesize rates closed the year down 88% from the beginning of the year. Panamax, Supramax and Handysize rates declined 53%, 38% and 39%, respectively. The BDI showed signs of recovery both in the middle of the year and in the last quarter, but both recoveries quickly stalled.
The report further said that, roughly two-thirds of dry bulk freight activity is driven by iron ore, coal and steel. While seaborne iron ore and steel demand have remained strong, the year has digested a number of negatives, including: (i) weaker coal trade as Chinese imports have declined; (ii) negative macro news and credit tightening in China; (iii) the Indonesian ban on nickel ore/bauxite/iron ore exports; and (iv) less congestion from shippers in South America. Broadly speaking, supply has outstripped demand, and in 2015 fleet supply growth is expected to remain slightly ahead of cargo growth.
In shipping, supply side dynamics manifest in two ways – (i) number of ships on seas plus the new deliveries, and (ii) speed of the vessels. In anticipation of rising demand for these dry bulkers, the shipping industry responded affirmatively on both fronts: not only were there more vessels, but many also reportedly sped up their fleets. Even though the demand for vessels in the cape segment has grown, the tonne-mile demand in 2014 shrunk, chiefly due to much of the iron ore supply being delivered on short haul routes. However, in the Panamax category, while the order book touched a 5-year high of 53% in 2010 followed by a 5 year low of 23% in June 2013, the current order book for these vessels at 33% looks a bit apprehensive given demand side challenges.
At any one time, there are about 1,000 vessels in the Singapore port.*
*Singapore Maritime Port Authority
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Tuesday, 10 February 15
IRON ORE MARKET TO REMAIN OVERSUPPLIED IN 2015: PRICE FORECAST $70/T - WOOD MACKENZIE
COALspot.com: With January witnessing the price of iron ore falling to its lowest levels since May 2009, Roger Emslie, Principal Metals & ...
Tuesday, 10 February 15
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP ADVANCES 3.79% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q2 swap up US$ 0.85 (+1.81%) month o ...
Tuesday, 10 February 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS SURGE WEEK OVER WEEK, RAISING HOPES?
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 0.95 per MT (+1.91%) week over week and declined US$ 0.06 (-0.12%) ...
Monday, 09 February 15
AUSTRALIAN COAL PRODUCERS BEST POSITIONED IN OVERSUPPLIED MARKET; US MINES MOST AT RISK - WOOD MACKENZIE
In a 2015 global coal outlook report, Wood Mackenzie says that Australia and Indonesian coal suppliers will see some upside in the difficult months ...
Monday, 09 February 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP GAINS 3.65% TO ONE-MONTH HIGH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 surge month over month and day on day.
The Q2 swap has soared US$ 2.1 ...
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
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