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Wednesday, 07 January 15
2015 IS RIDDLED WITH CHALLENGES FOR THE SHIPPING SECTOR, MOST NOTABLY THE DRY BULK MARKET - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the new year has now set foot for real, many are still looking to detect what’s in store for the various shipping markets, with the first quarter of the year been the “compass” which will point towards this year’s direction in shipping. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Allied Shipbroking, “with the dry bulk market having started off the year on a fairly negative note there are some that see it as setting the tone of what we are set to see during the next 12 months. Though taking a look at the composite leading indicators for both China and India as well as the recent pick up in interest for iron ore we might be seeing an improvement in the works”.
Allied’s George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, “there are however great fears to overcome this year before we can see better days. The recent economic crisis in Russia caused by the crippling sanctions brought about from the West and the drastic drop in oil prices (energy accounts for 25% of Russia’s gross domestic product – GDP) creates woes of global trade imbalance. At the same time worries have resurfaced regarding the stability and growth potential of the Euro-zone, as many voice concerns of a potential Greek exit from the Eurozone after the upcoming elections. Further to this, some of the largest economies, such as China, Japan and Germany, as well as several emerging markets have to tackle a slowdown in economic growth. This is all set to take place on the back drop of a fairly strong growth in the carrying capacity of the dry bulk fleet and it’s the dry bulk fleet that is most under threat now”.
According to the shipbroker, “most of the above mentioned will be fairly cleared out within the first two months of the year, while at the same time we should start to be able to get a better idea as to the direction the market will take. The hopes are for a stronger global GDP growth, with forecasts pointing to a 2.9% increase this year compared to 2.5% estimated to have been seen in 2014. This is mainly to be driven by the more bullish U.S. economy as well as an overall benefit that is expected to be seen if the current low oil prices persist. With regards to the latter the IMF has pointed to an increase of up to 0.7% in global economic activity which will be accounted by the lower energy prices. Further to this, the fact that most commodity prices have weakened considerably in the second half of 2014, means that overall costs have weakened, while these lower prices will allow for a continuation of the current low interest rate policies”.
Lazaridis added that “the current fog of uncertainty is likely to clear out after the Chinese New Year in mid-February. If the outcome is positive, we should see a spark of buying interest as prices will be ripe for the picking. If things turn for the worst then we might be set for a very difficult year, hopefully allowing for a clear out of some of the excesses that had been made in the past. In any case it looks as though 2015 will be giving truth to the phrase “the night is darkest just before the dawn”, or so we would like to hope”, he concluded.
Meanwhile, in the newbuilding market over these past couple of weeks, Allied said that “with 2014 having closed off at a fairly poor note and everyone worry-ing of even tougher market conditions to follow in the first half of 2015, many shipbuilders have already lowered their targets for the year, while we are likely to see a more aggressive marketing approach in an effort to steal some interest from the secondhand market. The way prices are holding right now this seems fairly difficult as it is hard to convince buyers to pay out such a premium the way the market is currently moving. At the same time, difficulties in terms of financing are likely to continue on in 2015, with particular difficulties to be seen as to the issuance of refund guarantees. As things stand now. S. Kore-an shipbuilders are better placed having put considerable focus on the tanker market as well as other niche markets which have been performing better in terms of earnings. In terms, of rumored deals, S. Korea’s Daewoo Shipbuilding has se-cured an order for 2 ice class LNG (172,000cbm) carriers for a price of US$ 317.0m each with delivery between 2017 and 2019″.
Finally, in the market for secondhand vessels, “further price drops have been noted in the Dry Bulk sector despite the limited activity which has taken place. Buyers have preferred to stay in the sidelines waiting for things to soften further, while many hope to see prices reach closer to the levels seen in early 2013. Interms of reported deals the Handysize “LEYDEN” (28k, 1995, Japan) was picked up for a price of US$ 5.1m. Things have been more bullish in the tanker sector, were the very promising performance in the freight market has rekindled interest by many buyers especially for the larger crude carriers. It is noteworthy to mention the fleet purchase by Genmar of 14 VLCC resales at a total enbloc price US$ 1.4bn”, Allied concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide
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Wednesday, 07 January 15
FUEL EFFICIENT SHIPS MAKE LESS SENSE IN LOWER BUNKER PRICE MARKET, BUT FUEL COSTS ARE BOUND TO RISE AGAIN
The shipping industry entered 2015 on mixed emotions, as a relatively buoyant tanker market is met by a rather lackluster dry bulk market. Still, a ...
Tuesday, 06 January 15
SHIPPING MUST ADOPT CAN-DO ATTITUDE IN 2015 - MOORE STEPHENS
Shipping needs to adopt a can-do attitude in order to successfully meet the challenges which are likely to come its way in 2015.
Shipping part ...
Tuesday, 06 January 15
Q4' 15 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED 1.81% HIGHER COMPARED TO Q1' 15 CLOSING
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.74 (-1.51%) m ...
Tuesday, 06 January 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS LOST W-O-W AND M-O-M, SGX DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 3.52 (-5. ...
Monday, 05 January 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS GAINED WEEK OVER WEEK, SGX DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased by US$ 2.50 (-4.02%) month over month and gained US$ 0.20 ( ...
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- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
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