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Wednesday, 17 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL SHANGHAI, SNP TEAM
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, we are all witness to the second hand market prices softening day by day. Any new deal surfacing the market is at significantly lower level compared to the previous last done. In this respect, some Owners are accepting these new discounted levels, ac-cepting the new asset level reality, whereas others prefer to withdraw their ships or chose to wait, hoping to find more eager Buyers who can pay their aiming levels.
For the modern dry bulker tonnages, Owners are still holding back and are insisting on asking prices, which in some cases are more in sync with the levels of the market six months ago. Most of them, however, are trying to fix the ships in small period contracts that will help them sit through the bad market in the next few months, hoping that by the end of the contracts they will face a better market. Some unrealistically priced sale candidates, which still remain in the market, have created a small increase in the supply of tonnage for sale which does not help the more serious Sellers to get a good or at least a decent price for their vessels.
Demolition prices are softening every week and the period of time where the prices were around 480-500 usd/ldt for bulkers is well behind us. Today, we can see Owners receiving figures at around 420-430 usd/ldt basis deliv-ery in Bangladesh or West coast of India. Many people in this industry are pessimistic and they don’t expect any increase in demo prices in the near future, with some expecting average demo bids to fall below the 400 usd/ldt mark sooner rather than later. The iron ore and steel price remain on a downward slope, while the continuous imports of cheap Chinese scrap steel is still the main hurdle faced by demo breakers in the Indian subcontinent.
The softening of the demo market, has had a big impact on the selling prices of the early/mid 90s built dry bulk carriers since their value calculation is usually based on the demo price plus a premium. This is most notable on Panamax and Handymax dry bulk tonnage, which have lost significant value during the past months and all this doesn’t seem to be changing soon, as the vessels on the market are too many and the majority of the Buyers are based in China, who is well accustomed in being patient in order to get something cheap.
Chinese Buyers already seem to be attracted by the present lows of the mar-ket and there is definitely some warming up of activity here. However, as everybody has a feeling that prices will most probably keep dropping, as a result of the continuously softening demo prices, most potential Buyers chose to wait a little further before they invest in second-hand tonnage. The logic behind this is that instead of acquiring now a low-mid 90’s blt ship, there might be an opportunity in the very near future to purchase, at a simi-lar value, a late 90’s blt tonnage.
Hopefully, these bad market conditions will come to an end soon. If this situation persists for long enough though, everybody involved in the indus-try will start facing problems. On the other hand, this hasn’t had a significant effect on Tanker Owners who are trading in a significantly improved freight market, ever since oil prices dropped and demand of oil increased. But whether this perfect storm will continue to favor the tanker market is the million dollar question here.
By Intermodal Shanghai office, SnP Team
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 02 December 14
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS LOST MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week on week and day over day.
The Q1 swap has lost U ...
Tuesday, 02 December 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL Q1' 15 DELIVERY SWAP CLOSED AT US$ 49.50
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week over week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.4 ...
Monday, 01 December 14
SGX'S FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 52.50
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery closed at US$ 52.50 on 28 November after losing US$ 1.20 (-2.23%) month ove ...
Monday, 01 December 14
Q2' 15 DELIVERY CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED 0.42% LOWER THAN Q1' 15 DELIVERY CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 2.45 (-3.78%) month over month and US$ 0.67 (-1.06%) we ...
Sunday, 30 November 14
SUPRAMAX COAL FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA : FIRM
COALspot.com: The BDI fell 171 points and closed at 1153 points on Friday 28 November 2014. The Cape index also lost 887 points and closed at 2151 ...
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- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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