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Monday, 15 December 14
WILL TANKERS BENEFIT FROM REEMERGENCE OF FLOATING STORAGE PLAYS? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The tanker market has been seeing high freight rates for some time now, riding on the back of low oil prices, which are boosting demand from developing nations, looking to replenish their stockpiles. However, another factor could also emerge, with the return of floating storage plays. According to the latest report from shipbroker Charles R. Weber, “following strong crude price losses during late 2008 and early 2009, the $45 emergence of a steep contango in crude futures markets supported a surge in demand for tankers to service floating storage contracts. By 2010, as the $30 wheels of the global economy improved on a return to strong growth in $15 emerging economies, the contango curve became steep enough to support $0 floating storage sufficiently to consume through much of 1H10 upwards of 10% of the global VLCC fleet. This lead to stronger earnings for the class with knock on effects for smaller tanker counterparts as overall availability levels declined”.
According to the shipbroker, “when crude prices started observing losses early during 2H14, the reemergence $60 of a contangoed futures curve reignited consideration of floating storage, but $45 little has materialized as the S/bbl storage costs consistently forward crude spreads. With the global demand/supply imbalance having extended through $30 2H14, the unwillingness by OPEC (or more specifically: a prominent contingent of OPEC’s membership) to react through supply cuts, recent downward $15 revisions by key oil forecasting agencies to demand projections implies that a wider imbalance will materialize during 2015. In its latest report, the IEA notes $0 the imbalance with a corresponding rise in implied steep building up of global crude inventories of relative earnings strength (if below present peak levels). How the crude $80 market develops thereafter will likely dictate the course that tanker earnings take through the remainder of 2015. $60 For its part, support from floating storage remains off the table due to the $40 prohibitively high cost to procure tonnage for such a purpose”.
C.R. Weber noted that “at present assessments, a 6 month floating storage contract off Singapore would equate to $20 a cost ~$5.84/bbl while the spread between Brent’s front month and July contracts stands at $3.72/bbl Further into 2015, however, continued crude price losses which could be inferred by the |EA’s projected widening of the global demand/supply $40 imbalance could lead to crude supply cuts to support prices. Though such a $30 scenario represents a threat to crude tanker demand, a simultaneous correcting of freight markets and steepening of contango curves could create the requisite $20 economics to support floating storage. This would likely place a floor on prospective freight downside while bridging the market to a subsequent $10 rebalancing of crude markets, thus limiting an impact on crude tanker earnings”, the shipbroker concluded.
Meanwhile, in the crude tanker markets this week, in the VLCC segment “rates firmed this week as charterers worked through much of the remainder of the Middle East market’s December program while owners became more bullish in a late reaction to narrower supply/demand fundamentals. Stronger demand in the Middle East market – where the December program has already yielded the most cargoes since the April program and is poised to conclude with the most since the February market – has coincided with a recent demand acceleration in the West Africa market. As both of these areas draw from Middle East positions, the region’s supply/demand positioning is at its narrowest level since 2008 with just 5 surplus positions through end? December dates. With 118 Middle East December cargoes covered to date and the program expected to conclude with 121, the 8 units which remain on position lists to cover the remaining stems appear set to observe premiums to present assessments. How aggressively charterers progress into the January program during the upcoming week will thus likely dictate the direction that rates will take for early January cargoes. Given shortened working weeks during the final two weeks of the year, charterers could reach forward on dates (as the market already is observing) during the upcoming week to cover requirements ahead of the holidays. Against the tight supply/demand profile, this would imply an extending of the present rate rally. Further forward, as the market moves past the first half of the January program and forward fixing windows normalize, the reappearance of units presently on trades to points in the east on Middle East position lists should see rates start to correct”, C.R. Weber concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 30 December 14
INDIA INC TO BENEFIT AS IMPORTED COAL PRICES SET TO FALL - RAHUL PRITHIANI
The Hindu: India‘s coal import volumes are set to rise by over 30 per cent over the next two years to 214 million tonnes in 2015-16, as domes ...
Tuesday, 30 December 14
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ALMOST FLAT AT -0.2%
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Monday, 29 December 14
CHINESE COAL IMPORTS: REGULATORY RISKS? - CLARKSONS
In recent years, Chinese seaborne coal imports have surged, registering average growth of 67% p.a. between 2009 and 2013 to total 265mt. However, t ...
Monday, 29 December 14
BULK MARKET ENDS YEAR ON SOUR NOTE, SHIPBROKER SEES 'BUMPY ROAD AHEAD' - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
2014 was supposed to be the year that the dry bulk market would stage a comeback and a sustainable one for that matter. However, while for the most ...
Monday, 29 December 14
Q1'15 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $59.42
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased by US$ 3.51 (-5.58%) month over month and US$ 0.08 (-0.13%) ...
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- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The University of Queensland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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