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Wednesday, 10 December 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS, INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: As 2014 is coming to an end, we look back to what has happened during the year and notice that SnP activity has been particularly soft during the last quarter, especially as far as dry units are concerned. This is more obvious if one looks at the number of potential buyers inspecting sale candidates. During the same period last year, for every dry bulker, Handysize up to Cape that was up for sale there were numerous of interested buyers inspecting, while most of them would end up offering as well. This resulted in a dynamic upward drive in prices in the SnP market during that period.
A representative example of this drive is a ’99 built Japanese dry Panamax that was inspected a year ago by thirteen prospective buyers and acquired ten offers before finally being sold for a price in the region of USD 14,5m. This marked the start of a period of elevated activity lasting for the first five months of 2014. However, the strong momentum of the market started to weaken just before the summer season kicked off and purchasing interest for dry vessels naturally declined as the freight market started to witness further challenges.
Looking back, this period is reminiscent of the end of 2012/start of 2013 when the lowest post 2010 sales for Supramaxes and Panamaxes were recorded. An example of this is that a 7-year old Panamax that was sold at circa USD 15m when today an equivalent sale would go for approximately USD 17mil. Another reason for the increased pressure on the SnP market, apart from the bad performance of freight rates, is the overabundance of vessels for sale in the dry market. A large number of vessels have entered the second hand market in the last two months mostly from Japanese owners following the performance of the Japanese Yen. As a result, most prospective buyers have a number of alternatives and therefore apart from very exceptions offer at fairly low levels compared to what owners are looking for.
This is therefore another characteristic of the SnP market nowadays, which is also weighing down on activity volumes. In fact the growing gap between buyer and seller price ideas is exactly what is forcing many owners to withdraw their vessels from the market. It is worth noting that a number of such vessels were Japanese-owned which is uncharacteristic of Japanese owners, who are traditionally known to sell at the best obtainable prices once they are set on selling their assets.
The big question troubling potential buyers is whether this is a good time to invest in the dry market or if waiting a little longer will reward them with even lower levels. The belief that we may sooner rather than later be revisiting the price levels of 2012 is gaining more and more support lately. It remains extremely challenging to discern whether we have reached the market’s lowest point in order to invest and calling the floor of a market is always more of a guess rather, which makes any predictions an uncertain bet; it is safe, however, to say that prices during the past few months have certainly been attractive and the coming period has the potential to be extremely busy in terms of interest in the SnP market.
In any case, we should hope that the dry market picks up in 2015 to return to healthy levels in order for vessels to become attractive due to their freight rates and not their low prices, as that’s where the true value lies after all.
By George Iliopoulos, SnP Broker, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 29 December 14
SGX'S FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS IMPROVED W-O-W, LOST M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 1.44 per MT (-2.73%) month over month and gained US$ 0.36 (+0.71%) ...
Friday, 26 December 14
SHIPS FACE LOWER SULPHUR FUEL REQUIREMENTS IN EMISSION CONTROL AREAS FROM 1 JANUARY 2015 - IMO
Ships trading in designated emission control areas will have to use on board fuel oil with a sulphur content of no more than 0.10% from 1 January 2 ...
Wednesday, 24 December 14
CAPE DEMAND WAS STILL EXTREMELY SOFT THIS PAST WEEK ACROSS BOTH BASINS - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The performance of the Dry Bulk market, which found itself in desperate search of support for yet another week, has left very little ...
Wednesday, 24 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - JOHN N. COTZIAS, INTERMODAL SNP BROKER
The year is coming to an end, and we should be able to assess if this was a good year, a bad year, or even a lousy one? The answer clearly de ...
Tuesday, 23 December 14
Q1'15 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP GAINED 48 CENTS IN ONE WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month and gained week over week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lo ...
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The University of Queensland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
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