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Wednesday, 03 December 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
The dry bulk market seems unable to turn sentiment round and is still looking for direction. The BCI's 887-point free fall last week had an obvious negative influence on the market, decelerating the “positive” movement of the other dry bulker segments. Although average freight rates have improved considerably compared to average levels of Q3, they are still well below expectations built up before the last quarter. It is clear by now that this bitter taste will usher us into the New Year as well. Under the current freight environment and with rates looking unable to bounce back up for longer periods, it seems that investment interest is scaling back currently.
In the New Building sector, the very strong 2013 in terms of orders and the equally strong beginning of this year as well, originally allowed Shipbuilders to become more relaxed as their slots were fully booked for 2015 and the 1st half of 2016. As the last quarter of 2014 is nearing to its end, the lack of demand for securing new slots and the increasing number of non-effective orders has changed sentiment dramatically though, pushing yards to become more accommodating in their price expectations and even offer substantial discounts in certain cases. As a matter of fact, Top Chinese shipyards are currently willing to offer Ultramax and Kamsarmax slots at USD 27.0m and USD 29.0m respectively, but even prices like that are considered too expensive to attract the attention of owners who could be considering a newbuilding order. In the same spirit, resale candidates are also facing lack of interest as the current freight market is not tempting enough for an owner to pay the premium.
At the same time, the downward correction of demolition prices during the past weeks by more than $50/$60 per long ton, has had an immediate effect on older assets, although given the highs demo prices reached this year, even after such corrections, the current levels of $430/$440 per long ton, offered in the Indian sub-Continent for dry bulk units are still relatively attractive. Therefore vessels built up to 1995 are currently in the market for scrap related prices, with small differentiations relative to their size, SS/DD position and delivery place. Tonnages built within the first decade of 2000 enjoy the most interest, while at the same time these vessels present heavily corrected prices, which are comparable to 2012 levels.
The softening of Japan’s currency has simultaneously brought additional sale candidates in the market, with buyers concentrating in modern Japanese built tonnage with the view that a quick profit could be locked by what looks like another mini-cycle in terms of asset values. As evidenced by the table above table, vessels prices are very close to bottom levels reached back in the December 2012 – January 2013 period, while the freight market has been fairing at better levels compared to that period, possibly implying opportunities to be found in the second-hand market.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis, SnP Broker, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 27 September 14
MORE COAL MINERS AGREE TO AMEND CONTRACTS - THE JAKARTA POST
The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry is in a rush to beat a deadline for the conclusion of numerous memorandums of understanding (MoUs) with t ...
Friday, 26 September 14
INDIA SUPREME COURT RULING TO HIT STEEL, UTILITY EARNINGS, SAYS FITCH
COALspot.com: The 24 September Supreme Court of India (SCI) decision to cancel almost every coal block allocation since 1993 will have a negative f ...
Friday, 26 September 14
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION FELL 1.8% WEEK OVER WEEK, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.80 million short tons (mmst) of c ...
Friday, 26 September 14
ORACLE SIGNS EPC FRAMEWORK AGREEMENT WITH SEPCO FOR COAL MINE AND POWER PLANT IN PAKISTAN
COALspot.com: Oracle Coalfields PLC, the UK developer of a lignite coal mine and power plant in the south-eastern Sindh Province, Pakistan, has ann ...
Friday, 26 September 14
NEWCASTLMAXES ARE THE MOST SOUGHT AFTER VESSELS BY SHIP OWNERS TODAY SAYS VESSELS VALUE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Determining a ship’s fair value can be a very tricky business, especially when you’re the one paying. As such ...
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The University of Queensland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
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