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Wednesday, 03 December 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
The dry bulk market seems unable to turn sentiment round and is still looking for direction. The BCI's 887-point free fall last week had an obvious negative influence on the market, decelerating the “positive” movement of the other dry bulker segments. Although average freight rates have improved considerably compared to average levels of Q3, they are still well below expectations built up before the last quarter. It is clear by now that this bitter taste will usher us into the New Year as well. Under the current freight environment and with rates looking unable to bounce back up for longer periods, it seems that investment interest is scaling back currently.
In the New Building sector, the very strong 2013 in terms of orders and the equally strong beginning of this year as well, originally allowed Shipbuilders to become more relaxed as their slots were fully booked for 2015 and the 1st half of 2016. As the last quarter of 2014 is nearing to its end, the lack of demand for securing new slots and the increasing number of non-effective orders has changed sentiment dramatically though, pushing yards to become more accommodating in their price expectations and even offer substantial discounts in certain cases. As a matter of fact, Top Chinese shipyards are currently willing to offer Ultramax and Kamsarmax slots at USD 27.0m and USD 29.0m respectively, but even prices like that are considered too expensive to attract the attention of owners who could be considering a newbuilding order. In the same spirit, resale candidates are also facing lack of interest as the current freight market is not tempting enough for an owner to pay the premium.
At the same time, the downward correction of demolition prices during the past weeks by more than $50/$60 per long ton, has had an immediate effect on older assets, although given the highs demo prices reached this year, even after such corrections, the current levels of $430/$440 per long ton, offered in the Indian sub-Continent for dry bulk units are still relatively attractive. Therefore vessels built up to 1995 are currently in the market for scrap related prices, with small differentiations relative to their size, SS/DD position and delivery place. Tonnages built within the first decade of 2000 enjoy the most interest, while at the same time these vessels present heavily corrected prices, which are comparable to 2012 levels.
The softening of Japan’s currency has simultaneously brought additional sale candidates in the market, with buyers concentrating in modern Japanese built tonnage with the view that a quick profit could be locked by what looks like another mini-cycle in terms of asset values. As evidenced by the table above table, vessels prices are very close to bottom levels reached back in the December 2012 – January 2013 period, while the freight market has been fairing at better levels compared to that period, possibly implying opportunities to be found in the second-hand market.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis, SnP Broker, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 15 October 14
NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 13.96 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN SEPTEMBER; UP 5.72%
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port, has shipped $1,227.7 wor ...
Tuesday, 14 October 14
KING COAL UNDER ATTACK? - EVA TZIMA
With the last quarter of the year being well underway and with no strong signs that the Dry Bulk market could be ready for a big positive reversal, ...
Tuesday, 14 October 14
THE NEW CHINESE TRANSPORTATION TAX LAW: WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR GREEK SHIPPING? - DELOITTE
China has recently promulgated a new law which imposes tax on profits from freights of inbound routes. The objective of the new tax law titled &ldq ...
Monday, 13 October 14
CHINESE COAL IMPORT TARIFFS YET ANOTHER BLOW TO AUSTRALIAN COAL EXPORTS - TIM BUCKLEY
COALspot.com: China’s unexpected move to reintroduce thermal coal import tariffs of 6% will have a materially negative impact on the viabilit ...
Monday, 13 October 14
NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 54.92, SGX DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for delivery Q4' 2014 decreased US$ 0.80 (-1.46%) month over month and US$ 0.52 (-0.95%) week over ...
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- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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